Hou Met - "Depression likely"

[GalvestonDuck]

Hey guys! Just got home, trying to get caught up on posts, but I'm tired and ready for bed.

Flipped on the news -- rebroadcast of the 10PM. Caught David Tillman on ABC13 talking about the Carib. system. Pointed it out on satellite, said it'd probably go to south LA, and then pulled up a screen graphic as he said three things are possible: "A depression is likely, a tropical storm is possible but less likely, and heavy rains are possible." Not sure what the other local mets have said...won't know til morning...and at this rate, I'm not getting up til 9AM.

Ticka -- heard anything from any others?

[MONTEGUT_LA]

Heard about the same thing on my local weather channel out of New Orleans. Hope it's just a whole lot of rain & nothing more. Though, if my house goes swimming again, I wouldn't be surpized (Just my LUCK) LOL.

Tina

[wxman57]

Glad someone can sleep until 9am. It' s 4:18 am and I'm dressed for work. The wave looks just like that - a wave. Much less organized than 24hrs ago. I really doubt it'll do anything before moving inland. Only a slight chance of development now. Just a rain event.

Also, one thing I notice, too, is that the upper low east of Brownsville has NOT weakened and moved west as the models had forecst. As such, there is more shear across the wave now.

[TUscALooSA]

Hearing similar things here on the news in Baton Rouge--for what it's worth. This is significant because it wasn't seriously being talked about as a heavy rain threat until yesterday (Friday). I always take it as an important "turning point" of sorts when local weather people begin to mention it to the public, and tell us to keep an eye on something. I trust that they would only do that if there were a serious possibilty of something brewing.

Jay Grymes of WAFB here is saying that regardless of whether it becomes a full-blown tropical system of any kind, there is a strong possibility of locally 6+ inches of rain, and urban flooding problems come Sunday/Monday.

[Anonymous]

I wish we would get some rain down here in South Texas we need it bad my yard is a really nice shade of brown!

[DJJordan]

Houston officially is what... about 10" behind for the year in rainfall. Seems like every time a heavy rain event is forecast.... it doesn't happen here... maybe all around us but not here...lol. Yeah it does look unorganized this morning and seems to be making a beeline for the upper Texas SW LA coastline. Just have to wait for later forecasts today and see what this does.

[GalvestonDuck]

Glad someone can sleep until 9am. It' s 4:18 am and I'm dressed for work. The wave looks just like that - a wave. Much less organized than 24hrs ago. I really doubt it'll do anything before moving inland. Only a slight chance of development now. Just a rain event.

Also, one thing I notice, too, is that the upper low east of Brownsville has NOT weakened and moved west as the models had forecst. As such, there is more shear across the wave now.

LOL! Yeah, some of us get to sleep til 9, although I'm up earlier than I thought I'd be. Would have been in bed earlier, but I was designated driver last night. That means no sleep til everyone else get home and safe.

Thanks for your updates, wxman!