NHC modifies hurricane warning definition in wake of Sandy

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TropicalAnalystwx13
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NHC modifies hurricane warning definition in wake of Sandy

#1 Postby TropicalAnalystwx13 » Wed Dec 05, 2012 2:09 pm

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#2 Postby supercane4867 » Wed Dec 05, 2012 2:49 pm

Well...NHC is remedying its reputation but I'm glad they did that
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#3 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Dec 05, 2012 3:15 pm

I haven't seen it from an official NWS source yet?

I think that a lot of thought needs to be put into these situations. It just happened that Sandy blew a big hole in the NWS directives and exposed huge weaknesses. It makes me wonder another possibility - suppose a completely non-tropical Nor'easter, with a pressure of below 950mb, came up the coast...would the warnings get the attention necessary?

One thought I have for future non-tropical, non-convective wind events: use the words "Tropical Storm Force" and "Hurricane Force" to show the equivalent threats from non-tropical cyclones. (For downslope winds, consider using "(local name, i.e. Santa Ana, Chinook) Wind Warning" with the locally established criteria)
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#4 Postby RL3AO » Wed Dec 05, 2012 3:34 pm

Strange that Knabb gives the interview to Accuweather, who got national attention ripping the NHC about it before an official NHC/NOAA press release.
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Re: NHC modifies hurricane warning definition in wake of Sandy

#6 Postby vbhoutex » Thu Dec 06, 2012 8:35 pm

People read the above post really well. It is NOT A DONE DEAL!!! It is a PROPOSAL THAT IS IN PROCESS. No changes have been formally made contrary to what both Accuweather and TWC are stating. IT IS ONLY A PROPOSAL AT THIS TIME. Discussion is welcome to continue on the subject to say the least. Make sure you are respectful in your comments please. This can be a very touchy subject as some who want to place blame may not have all of the information concerning what happened or for that matter what is currently happening.
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Re: NHC modifies hurricane warning definition in wake of Sandy

#7 Postby mitchell » Mon Dec 24, 2012 11:28 am

Current Definition:
"Hurricane Warning
Hurricane conditions are expected within 24 hours. Complete all storm preparations and evacuate if directed by local officials."

I support the hurricane warning definition change but think that even under the current definition they should have issued a hurricane warning, even as the hurricane was rapidly becoming extratropical. Here is the 5:00p.m. plot when Sandy was a 90 MPH, 941 MB Cat 1 hurricane moving WNW at 28 mph.

It seems to me in this scenario, hurricane conditions were expected, from a hurricane, albeit a rapidly evolving one. Even under the current definition, a hurricane warning was warranted, as the system was a Cat 1 hurricane headed ashore.

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