here link to loop http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/flash-vis.htmlwave in eastern caribbean
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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floridasun78
- Category 5
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Sun May 17, 2009 10:16 pm
- Location: miami fl
wave in eastern caribbean
it look like wave near 35w getting act togther some models show strong wave or weak TS going toward leedwards by end of weekend Levi's show it on video our first Atlantic system here sat pic here link to loop http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/flash-vis.html
here link to loop http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/flash-vis.html
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
000
AXNT20 KNHC 031758
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 06N42W TO 14N36W MOVING W-NW AT 15-20
KT. SATELLITE PRESENTATION SHOWS THE WAVE AND ASSOCIATED SHOWER
AND TSTM ACTIVITY COINCIDES WITH A BROAD MID-LEVEL 700 MB TROUGH
S OF 20N BETWEEN 35W-46W. NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AT THIS TIME DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF THE
SAHARAN AIR LAYER AND DUST ON THE SURROUNDING NORTHERN PERIPHERY
OF THE WAVE AXIS.
AXNT20 KNHC 031758
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 06N42W TO 14N36W MOVING W-NW AT 15-20
KT. SATELLITE PRESENTATION SHOWS THE WAVE AND ASSOCIATED SHOWER
AND TSTM ACTIVITY COINCIDES WITH A BROAD MID-LEVEL 700 MB TROUGH
S OF 20N BETWEEN 35W-46W. NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AT THIS TIME DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF THE
SAHARAN AIR LAYER AND DUST ON THE SURROUNDING NORTHERN PERIPHERY
OF THE WAVE AXIS.
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Hurricane Alexis
- Category 2
- Posts: 683
- Age: 29
- Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2012 7:59 pm
- Location: Miami,Florida
Re: wave east of leewards
It's forecast to merge with the ULL north of the leewards.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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ozonepete
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 4743
- Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2009 3:23 pm
- Location: From Ozone Park, NYC / Now in Brooklyn, NY
Re: wave east of leewards
Worth watching, for sure. Best chances of anything out there by far... (floridasun78 you got dibbs on this one 
)
What I like most? It's holding its convection at night. If it holds it all night that's a real positive.
Lower Convergence:
Upper Divergence:
)What I like most? It's holding its convection at night. If it holds it all night that's a real positive.
Lower Convergence:
Upper Divergence:
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
000
AXNT20 KNHC 050552
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT FRI JUL 05 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0445 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 18N43W TO 7N55W MOVING WEST NEAR 15 KT.
THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH A LARGE SURGE OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
PRESENT IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. AN ASCAT
SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES THAT LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW IS
AROUND THE WAVE AXIS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-
14N BETWEEN 48W-51W.
AXNT20 KNHC 050552
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT FRI JUL 05 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0445 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 18N43W TO 7N55W MOVING WEST NEAR 15 KT.
THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH A LARGE SURGE OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
PRESENT IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. AN ASCAT
SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES THAT LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW IS
AROUND THE WAVE AXIS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-
14N BETWEEN 48W-51W.
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
000
AXNT20 KNHC 051127
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT FRI JUL 05 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 19N48W TO 8N53W MOVING WEST NEAR 15 KT.
THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH A LARGE SURGE OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
PRESENT IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 43W-53W.
AXNT20 KNHC 051127
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT FRI JUL 05 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 19N48W TO 8N53W MOVING WEST NEAR 15 KT.
THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH A LARGE SURGE OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
PRESENT IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 43W-53W.
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Aric Dunn
- Category 5
- Posts: 21238
- Age: 42
- Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
- Location: Ready for the Chase.
- Contact:
needs to be watched for sure especially if a little more deep convection can build.
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Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145360
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: wave east of leewards
2 PM TWD:
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N53W TO 18N45W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH A BROAD AREA OF DEEP LAYERED MOISTURE
NOTED IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY FROM 12N-20N BETWEEN
42W-54W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-17N BETWEEN
46W-54W.
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N53W TO 18N45W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH A BROAD AREA OF DEEP LAYERED MOISTURE
NOTED IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY FROM 12N-20N BETWEEN
42W-54W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-17N BETWEEN
46W-54W.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
000
AXNT20 KNHC 060004
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT FRI JUL 05 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING W-NW NEAR 5 KT...TOWARDS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN. CURRENTLY ITS AXIS EXTENDS ALONG 18N46W TO 12N52W AND
IS EMBEDDED MAINLY WITHIN A MODERATE MOIST ENVIRONMENT. THERE IS
MINIMUM SAL DRY AIR INTERACTION WITH THIS WAVE AND SCATTERED
RAINSHOWERS ARE FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 49W-51W.
AXNT20 KNHC 060004
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT FRI JUL 05 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING W-NW NEAR 5 KT...TOWARDS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN. CURRENTLY ITS AXIS EXTENDS ALONG 18N46W TO 12N52W AND
IS EMBEDDED MAINLY WITHIN A MODERATE MOIST ENVIRONMENT. THERE IS
MINIMUM SAL DRY AIR INTERACTION WITH THIS WAVE AND SCATTERED
RAINSHOWERS ARE FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 49W-51W.
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
000
AXNT20 KNHC 060602
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SAT JUL 06 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0445 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 20N46W TO 12N56W. THE LOCATION OF THIS
WAVE HAS ESSENTIALLY STAYED STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
HOWEVER...FROM LOOKING AT MODEL POTENTIAL VORTICITY FIELDS THE
WAVE IS LIKELY FARTHER WEST NEAR THE LESSER ANTILLES WHERE A
SURFACE TROUGH IS ANALYZED. THIS WAVE WILL LIKELY BE RELOCATED
ON THE NEXT ANALYSIS. IN ITS CURRENT LOCATION...A BROAD MOISTURE
SIGNAL IS PRESENT NEAR THE WAVE. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 13N-17N BETWEEN 46W-49W...AND FROM 16N-18N BETWEEN 53W-56W.
AXNT20 KNHC 060602
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SAT JUL 06 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0445 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 20N46W TO 12N56W. THE LOCATION OF THIS
WAVE HAS ESSENTIALLY STAYED STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
HOWEVER...FROM LOOKING AT MODEL POTENTIAL VORTICITY FIELDS THE
WAVE IS LIKELY FARTHER WEST NEAR THE LESSER ANTILLES WHERE A
SURFACE TROUGH IS ANALYZED. THIS WAVE WILL LIKELY BE RELOCATED
ON THE NEXT ANALYSIS. IN ITS CURRENT LOCATION...A BROAD MOISTURE
SIGNAL IS PRESENT NEAR THE WAVE. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 13N-17N BETWEEN 46W-49W...AND FROM 16N-18N BETWEEN 53W-56W.
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
782
AXNT20 KNHC 061049
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT SAT JUL 06 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE HAS BEEN RELOCATED FARTHER WEST TO THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN ALONG 20N60W TO 11N64W. THIS LOCATION IS WHERE A
SURFACE TROUGH WAS ANALYZED ON THE PREVIOUS ANALYSIS. THE
LOCATION OF THE WAVE IS BASED ON MODEL POTENTIAL VORTICITY
FIELDS WHICH INDICATE A CLEAR WAVE AXIS MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE
PAST SEVERAL DAYS TO THE CURRENT LOCATION WHERE IT IS ANALYZED.
THE WAVE ALSO COINCIDES WITH A SURGE OF MODERATE MOISTURE
PRESENT IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. AN AREA OF INCREASED
MOISTURE IS ALSO FARTHER EAST WHERE THE WAVE WAS PREVIOUSLY
ANALYZED. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
WAVE.
AXNT20 KNHC 061049
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT SAT JUL 06 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE HAS BEEN RELOCATED FARTHER WEST TO THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN ALONG 20N60W TO 11N64W. THIS LOCATION IS WHERE A
SURFACE TROUGH WAS ANALYZED ON THE PREVIOUS ANALYSIS. THE
LOCATION OF THE WAVE IS BASED ON MODEL POTENTIAL VORTICITY
FIELDS WHICH INDICATE A CLEAR WAVE AXIS MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE
PAST SEVERAL DAYS TO THE CURRENT LOCATION WHERE IT IS ANALYZED.
THE WAVE ALSO COINCIDES WITH A SURGE OF MODERATE MOISTURE
PRESENT IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. AN AREA OF INCREASED
MOISTURE IS ALSO FARTHER EAST WHERE THE WAVE WAS PREVIOUSLY
ANALYZED. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
WAVE.
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
000
AXNT20 KNHC 061806
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SAT JUL 06 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING W-NW NEAR 15 KT ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN. CURRENTLY ITS AXIS EXTENDS FROM 21N61W TO 13N68W AND
IS EMBEDDED IN A MODERATE MOIST ENVIRONMENT AS DEPICTED IN TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. A MORE MOIST AREA LIES FARTHER EAST
WHERE THE WAVE WAS PREVIOUSLY ANALYZED. WIDESPREAD DUST HAS BEEN
REPORTED IN THE LESSER ANTILLES AS WELL AS IN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
AND DRY AIR IS OBSERVED SURROUNDING THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT IN
TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 18N-20N WITHIN 250 NM E OF
THE WAVE AXIS BEING ENHANCED BY UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE FROM AN
UPPER CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 23N66W AND AN
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED 12N58W. RADAR IMAGERY FROM
PUERTO RICO SHOW ISOLATED SHOWERS N OF 16N E OF 68W.
AXNT20 KNHC 061806
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SAT JUL 06 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING W-NW NEAR 15 KT ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN. CURRENTLY ITS AXIS EXTENDS FROM 21N61W TO 13N68W AND
IS EMBEDDED IN A MODERATE MOIST ENVIRONMENT AS DEPICTED IN TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. A MORE MOIST AREA LIES FARTHER EAST
WHERE THE WAVE WAS PREVIOUSLY ANALYZED. WIDESPREAD DUST HAS BEEN
REPORTED IN THE LESSER ANTILLES AS WELL AS IN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
AND DRY AIR IS OBSERVED SURROUNDING THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT IN
TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 18N-20N WITHIN 250 NM E OF
THE WAVE AXIS BEING ENHANCED BY UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE FROM AN
UPPER CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 23N66W AND AN
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED 12N58W. RADAR IMAGERY FROM
PUERTO RICO SHOW ISOLATED SHOWERS N OF 16N E OF 68W.
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SAT JUL 06 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 14N68W TO 20N63W MOVING W-NW AT 15
KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH A GLOBAL MODEL INDICATED 700 MB
TROUGH PROGRESSING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NE CARIBBEAN AND SW
NORTH ATLC WHICH IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT W-NW ON THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF A SW NORTH ATLC RIDGE ANCHORED OFF THE COAST OF THE
CAROLINAS. THE WAVE ALSO REMAINS ON THE HEELS OF A MIDDLE TO
UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NORTH OF HISPANIOLA NEAR 23N68W THAT
CONTINUES TO DRAW MOISTURE AND THE A PORTION OF THE WAVE IN THAT
DIRECTION. CONVECTION REMAINS LIMITED AT THIS TIME WITH ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS FROM 15N-
22N BETWEEN 56W-63W...AND WEST OF THE WAVE FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN
66W-73W...AND IN THE VICINITY OF PUERTO RICO.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SAT JUL 06 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 14N68W TO 20N63W MOVING W-NW AT 15
KT. THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH A GLOBAL MODEL INDICATED 700 MB
TROUGH PROGRESSING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NE CARIBBEAN AND SW
NORTH ATLC WHICH IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT W-NW ON THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF A SW NORTH ATLC RIDGE ANCHORED OFF THE COAST OF THE
CAROLINAS. THE WAVE ALSO REMAINS ON THE HEELS OF A MIDDLE TO
UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NORTH OF HISPANIOLA NEAR 23N68W THAT
CONTINUES TO DRAW MOISTURE AND THE A PORTION OF THE WAVE IN THAT
DIRECTION. CONVECTION REMAINS LIMITED AT THIS TIME WITH ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS OCCURRING EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS FROM 15N-
22N BETWEEN 56W-63W...AND WEST OF THE WAVE FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN
66W-73W...AND IN THE VICINITY OF PUERTO RICO.
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