Wave appoaching islands

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
tailgater
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3339
Joined: Sun Jul 11, 2004 9:13 pm
Location: St. Amant La.

Wave appoaching islands

#1 Postby tailgater » Wed Aug 05, 2015 9:04 pm

Tiny blow up along wave axis hopefully it'll bring some helpful showers.

Image
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Javlin
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1620
Age: 64
Joined: Fri Jul 09, 2004 7:58 pm
Location: ms gulf coast

#2 Postby Javlin » Wed Aug 05, 2015 9:48 pm

I've been watching that naked swirl for a couple of days now and seen it pop alittle this evening still a wait and see for this season.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/flash-rgb.html
0 likes   

User avatar
Yellow Evan
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 16143
Age: 27
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Honolulu, HI
Contact:

#3 Postby Yellow Evan » Wed Aug 05, 2015 9:52 pm

Looks cute ill give it that much.
0 likes   

Javlin
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1620
Age: 64
Joined: Fri Jul 09, 2004 7:58 pm
Location: ms gulf coast

#4 Postby Javlin » Wed Aug 05, 2015 9:53 pm

Also notice the lack of mid-upper level winds...If the the ULL and this travel at the same rate does it provide calm winds 60' mark?

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/w ... oom=&time=
0 likes   

User avatar
MGC
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5899
Joined: Sun Mar 23, 2003 9:05 pm
Location: Pass Christian MS, or what is left.

Re: Wave appoaching islands

#5 Postby MGC » Wed Aug 05, 2015 10:44 pm

This is what is left of 94L I think.....MGC
0 likes   

ninel conde

#6 Postby ninel conde » Wed Aug 05, 2015 11:40 pm

Its getting hard to remember when water molecules existed in the deep tropics.
0 likes   

floridasun78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3755
Joined: Sun May 17, 2009 10:16 pm
Location: miami fl

Re: Wave appoaching islands

#7 Postby floridasun78 » Wed Aug 05, 2015 11:40 pm

MGC wrote:This is what is left of 94L I think.....MGC
yes this ex 94l i been watch as move west
0 likes   

User avatar
Hammy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5849
Age: 41
Joined: Fri May 25, 2012 5:25 pm
Contact:

#8 Postby Hammy » Thu Aug 06, 2015 12:06 am

I dare say this looks like a tropical depression if it turns out to be closed.
0 likes   
The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
chaser1
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5465
Age: 64
Joined: Sat Oct 15, 2005 5:59 pm
Location: Longwood, Fl

Re:

#9 Postby chaser1 » Thu Aug 06, 2015 2:10 am

Hammy wrote:I dare say this looks like a tropical depression if it turns out to be closed.


I'm not thinking we quite have a depression, especially given the recent warmer cloud tops ('course we could also see some renewed bursting too I suppose). I"d like to see some banding features but haven't thus far. Also, evident on satellite I am seeing some cloud fragments just to its north, moving pretty quickly towards the east. Hard to say if they're really at 200mb or a little lower, but either way might be undercutting what convection still trying to pop. I'll give you this however, the disturbance itself is not wrapped within the SAL, but rather just removed from the leading edge of this particular surge. I do see some increasing moisture from the ITCZ just to its southeast. Finally, I know what your thinking while looking at this feature. Quite small, yet perhaps not altogether in an inhospitable area. How many times over the years have we seen quick spin up's come out of tiny little disturbances looking a little like this one? Though I'd bet against this present system, one never knows if something small like this might just find that sweet spot.
0 likes   
Andy D

(For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.)

User avatar
Yellow Evan
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 16143
Age: 27
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Honolulu, HI
Contact:

Re:

#10 Postby Yellow Evan » Thu Aug 06, 2015 2:19 am

Hammy wrote:I dare say this looks like a tropical depression if it turns out to be closed.


Not quite, there's no banding features.
0 likes   

User avatar
Nimbus
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5300
Joined: Mon Jul 19, 2004 10:54 am

Re: Wave appoaching islands

#11 Postby Nimbus » Thu Aug 06, 2015 4:45 am

the 94l wave is moving out of the humidor according to the heat map WXman57 posted showing the moisture anomaly at 18,000 ft.
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#12 Postby Gustywind » Thu Aug 06, 2015 6:07 am

No mention of a twave given the latest TWD...
:rarrow: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... WDAT.shtml?
0 likes   

User avatar
tropicwatch
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3386
Age: 61
Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
Location: Panama City Florida
Contact:

#13 Postby tropicwatch » Thu Aug 06, 2015 7:40 am

From this mornings TWD:

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN 1013 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 12N49W. IT
APPEARS THAT THE TROPICAL WAVE THAT WAS ALONG 40W/41W SIX HOURS
AGO HAS BEEN ABSORBED INTO THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION THAT IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE 1013 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE AND
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 50W AND 52W.
0 likes   
Tropicwatch


Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Stratton23 and 44 guests