Stormsfury
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145414
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Stormsfury
An important discussion about why it was not classified as a tropical storm at 5 Pm despite the models iniciation as a TS and the pressure drop to 1002 mbs.I dont have a clue of why it is still a TD unless they want more data from another recon tonight but what is your take on that?
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145414
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
http://www.tormenta.net/frame_page.asp? ... s_nt2.html
Well here is the discussion that says why they stayed with TD status for this advisory.
Well here is the discussion that says why they stayed with TD status for this advisory.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
Stormsfury
- Category 5
- Posts: 10549
- Age: 53
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
- Location: Summerville, SC
Luis, honestly I think it's the Grace syndrome at work here with recent critical assessment in relation to Grace. However, I don't think anyone would have been critical this time... IMHO, #12 is already a 35 kt tropical storm and should be deemed as such ... the low level center is totally encased in deep convection which has sustained itself and the center even relocated further into the deep convection. Shear is lessening over the system plus the relative shear (since the system is moving eastward). NHC will likely upgrade this at 8 pm but are being a little bit cautious, but I don't think anyone would be complaining if #12 was upgraded at 5 pm. In fact, more people are going to complain about the non-upgrade (me included but silently) ...
Not to mention the pressure drop as well ... but since the RECON is already investigating, they are going for absolute 100% certainty I suppose. I noticed Avila didn't write the discussion.
SF
Not to mention the pressure drop as well ... but since the RECON is already investigating, they are going for absolute 100% certainty I suppose. I noticed Avila didn't write the discussion.
SF
0 likes
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145414
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Yes it is a tropical storm now but as you said they want to make sure with the next recon tonight but no question that this is a minimal storm with 40-45 mph winds as this time at 5:23 PM.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot], RomP and 45 guests