2021 TCRs

[cycloneye]

Already it will be a interesting TC report if we look what is going on with PTC / Claudette. Also,Tropical Storm Dolores made landfall as a 70 mph storm and the post season report will determine if it was at 70 mph or 75 mph. Let's see how many form and more important, how they go thru the data.

North Atlantic

Tropical Storm Ana
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL012021_Ana.pdf

Tropical Storm Bill
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL022021_Bill.pdf

Tropical Storm Claudette
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL032 ... udette.pdf

Tropical Storm Danny
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL042021_Danny.pdf

Hurricane Elsa
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL052021_Elsa.pdf

Tropical Storm Fred
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL062021_Fred.pdf

Hurricane Grace
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL072021_Grace.pdf

Hurricane Henri
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL082021_Henri.pdf

Hurricane Ida
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL092021_Ida.pdf

Tropical Storm Julian
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL112021_Julian.pdf

Tropical Storm Kate
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL102021_Kate.pdf

Hurricane Larry
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL122021_Larry.pdf

Tropical Storm Mindy
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL132021_Mindy.pdf

Hurricane Nicholas
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL142021_Nicholas.pdf

Tropical Storm Odette
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL152021_Odette.pdf

Tropical Storm Peter
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL162021_Peter.pdf

Tropical Storm Rose
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL172021_Rose.pdf

Hurricane Sam
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL182021_Sam.pdf

Subtropical Storm Teresa
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL192021_Teresa.pdf

Tropical Storm Victor
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL202021_Victor.pdf

Tropical Storm Wanda
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL212021_Wanda.pdf



East Pacific

Tropical Storm Andres
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP012021_Andres.pdf

Tropical Storm Blanca
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP022021_Blanca.pdf

Tropical Storm Carlos
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP032021_Carlos.pdf

Tropical Storm Dolores
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP042021_Dolores.pdf

Hurricane Enrique
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP052021_Enrique.pdf

Hurricane Felicia
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP062021_Felicia.pdf

Tropical Storm Guillermo
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP072 ... llermo.pdf

Tropical Storm Jimena
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP092021_Jimena.pdf

Hurricane Hilda
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP082021_Hilda.pdf

Tropical Storm Ignacio
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP102021_Ignacio.pdf

Tropical Storm Kevin
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP112021_Kevin.pdf

Hurricane Linda
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP122021_Linda.pdf

Tropical Storm Marty
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP132021_Marty.pdf

Hurricane Nora
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP142021_Nora.pdf

Hurricane Olaf
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP152021_Olaf.pdf

Hurricane Pamela
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP162021_Pamela.pdf

Hurricane Rick
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP172021_Rick.pdf

Tropical Storm Sandra
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP192021_Sandra.pdf

Tropical Storm Terry
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP182021_Terry.pdf




.

[AlphaToOmega]

Tropical Storm Andres is up

[cycloneye]

That was fast the release of the first one of 2021.

[galaxy401]

Considering it was just a short-lived 40 mph storm that stayed out at sea, it probably was a very quick report to write up.

[AlphaToOmega]

The report was published on June 30. If anything, I was slow to announce it.

[somethingfunny]

That was fast the release of the first one of 2021.

The NHC remembers how much work they had to do on 2020's TCRs during their off-season so they'll be taking advantage of any lulls in activity to get ahead of the workload.

[cycloneye]

We may have the reports from short-lived ones Bill and Danny soon.

[AlphaToOmega]

We may have the reports from short-lived ones Bill and Danny soon.

That seems unlikely. The first TCRs for the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season were released in September.

[cycloneye]

We may have the reports from short lived ones Bill and Danny soon.

That seems unlikely. The first TCRs for the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season were released in September.

Andrés was released on July 2.

[Category5Kaiju]

We are definitely not getting Elsa's until 2022 imho

[Hammy]

We may have the reports from short-lived ones Bill and Danny soon.

That seems unlikely. The first TCRs for the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season were released in September.

Last year was more consistently active than this year even at this point, so they'll probably have a bit more time to write them earlier on.

[cycloneye]

Tropical Storm Ana is up.

[cycloneye]

Tropical Storm Guillermo report is up.

[galaxy401]

Tropical Storm Guillermo report is up.

How do you know it got published? It's not listed on the NHC site.

[cycloneye]

Tropical Storm Guillermo report is up.

How do you know it got published? It's not listed on the NHC site.

They posted it on twitter first.

 https://twitter.com/NHC_Pacific/status/1427326911420801024

[cycloneye]

Tropical Storm Guillermo report is up.

How do you know it got published? It's not listed on the NHC site.

Finnally, is on their site.

[galaxy401]

Yeah I thought it was probably Twitter but the accounts I looked up didn't have the link. Didn't realize there's a specific account for just the EPAC.

[cycloneye]

The report of Hurricane Felicia is up with peak intensity of 125 kt. See it here.

[aspen]

Here are all the post-season TCR adjustments I think are possible so far, based on what other users and pro mets said during the storm’s lifetime and what was observed:

Ana: complete
Bill: none
Claudette: maybe adjusting genesis/dissipation times
Danny: none
Elsa: time as a hurricane reduced; no hurricane peak in the Gulf; TD between Jamaica and Cuba
Fred: time as a remnant low extended
Grace: perhaps an open wave south of eastern DR; Yucatán landfall of 978mb as recorded by Josh Morgerman
Henri: initial peak as a hurricane at 15z/21z on August 18th
Ida: perhaps raising its Cuba landfall and Gulf peak winds by 5kt each
Kate: none
Julian: none
Larry: maybe some slight wind adjustments across its track but no change to peak intensity
Mindy: none
Nicholas: time as a post-landfall TD extended
Odette: hopefully a joke about how ugly it was lol
Peter: maybe slightly earlier genesis and dissipation
Rose: peak raised to 50 kt
Sam: BT adjusted to something like the following
—130kt/943mb at 00z 9/26
—135kt/935mb at 06z 9/26
—135kt/930mb at 12z 9/26
—140kt/924-927mb at 18z 9/26
—125kt/945mb at 00z 9/27
—Alternatively, the 18z intensity could be set to 135kt/929mb, and a Cat 5 peak would be assigned to be between advisories like Lorenzo’s peak
—Edit: much more significant weakening between 00z and 06z 9/27

[cycloneye]

TS Bill report is up.

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=121883&p=2906700#p2906700