How many named storms will form in August?

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Jul 01, 2022 8:12 pm

This poll will close on July 31rst at 9:12 PM EDT so the members will have plenty of time to think about how many named storms will form in August. If anyone wants to comment about why you voted for x option, go ahead.

captainbarbossa19 · #2 Postby **captainbarbossa19** » Sat Jul 02, 2022 12:25 am

I am going with 5. I think 1 or 2 will be majors too.

#3 Postby **AtlanticWind** » Sat Jul 02, 2022 12:45 am

Was between 4 and 5, went with 5

Category5Kaiju · #4 Postby **Category5Kaiju** » Sat Jul 02, 2022 1:53 am

Going with 5. I also predict that we'll see 2 majors, including one before the bell-ringing August 20 date

FireRat · #5 Postby **FireRat** » Sat Jul 02, 2022 2:00 am

After all the PTCSD brought on by Alex and Bonnie, I felt like 4 might be a fairly objective and good, yet slightly conservative number. 4 it is, with maybe the first two being TS and the latter two being H. Perhaps things will lean heavily towards the 2nd half of August before the bottom falls out during Sept/Oct.

aspen · #6 Postby **aspen** » Sat Jul 02, 2022 7:08 am

4 seems like a safe guess. Maybe at least one brief spin-up like Colin and a couple of deep tropics systems.

The CFS has been repeatedly showing an Irene ‘11 or Floyd ‘99 system system in the second half of August. If it’s right and this isn’t just some kind of repeating model bias, then August could feature the season’s first long-tracking MDR hurricane.

#7 Postby **tolakram** » Sat Jul 02, 2022 7:23 am

I'm going low with 3. I've already busted way low, might as well keep the streak alive.

#8 Postby **cycloneye** » Sun Jul 10, 2022 8:05 am

Good participation so far so keep it up until the voting closes on July 31rst at 9:12 PM EDT.

ElectricStorm · #9 Postby **ElectricStorm** » Sun Jul 10, 2022 9:05 am

I'm going to go with 4, with 3 of those coming after 8/15. Early August still usually isn't all that favorable for Atlantic storms but I think we could see one form in that timeframe this year.

CFLHurricane · #10 Postby **CFLHurricane** » Mon Jul 11, 2022 8:44 am

The first half of August is always a “season cancelled” snooze fest, however I believe things will get interesting in the last half, as is tradition. Due to the lack of productive time, I’m only predicting 3 named storms in August.

#11 Postby **AnnularCane** » Mon Jul 11, 2022 9:31 am

Throwing caution to the wind and saying 5. And the first half of August isn't ALWAYS dead, so it's possible... *cough Allen cough* 8-)

underthwx · #12 Postby **underthwx** » Mon Jul 11, 2022 10:49 am

6 or more....go for broke

#13 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Jul 15, 2022 6:20 am

For the 38 members that had voted so far, I have good news and that is, enabled the poll to allow changing the vote so those who may have second thoughts after seeing all the information that is posted on the 2022 indicators thread, can revote but this will be until next Wednesday the 20th.

captainbarbossa19 · #14 Postby **captainbarbossa19** » Fri Jul 15, 2022 12:15 pm

cycloneye wrote:For the 38 members that had voted so far, I have good news and that is, enabled the poll to allow changing the vote so those who may have second thoughts after seeing all the information that is posted on the 2022 indicators thread, can revote but this will be until next Wednesday the 20th.

I am still holding to my prediction of 5 storms. Despite the current active EPAC, today is July 15. One month from now can be vastly different and I expect it to be.

skyline385 · #15 Postby **skyline385** » Fri Jul 15, 2022 7:58 pm

Went with 4 personally, think its going to take a while for activity to pick up come August.

#16 Postby **Hybridstorm_November2001** » Fri Jul 15, 2022 11:46 pm

Four is my best-educated guess based on available data and computer models.

#17 Postby **AtlanticWind** » Sat Jul 16, 2022 1:31 am

How do we revote?, I am thinking of changing from 5 to 6 or more as I think conditions may be
unusually conducive earlier in August.

#18 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Jul 16, 2022 5:40 am

AtlanticWind wrote:How do we revote?, I am thinking of changing from 5 to 6 or more as I think conditions may be
unusually conducive earlier in August.

Is easy. The blue dot is where you first voted and then cast your revote for the option Six or more and that's it.

#19 Postby **AtlanticWind** » Sat Jul 16, 2022 1:02 pm

cycloneye wrote:
AtlanticWind wrote:How do we revote?, I am thinking of changing from 5 to 6 or more as I think conditions may be
unusually conducive earlier in August.

Is easy. The blue dot is where you first voted and then cast your revote for the option Six or more and that's it.

I just see the results on my end , no dots to vote

#20 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Jul 16, 2022 1:15 pm

AtlanticWind wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
AtlanticWind wrote:How do we revote?, I am thinking of changing from 5 to 6 or more as I think conditions may be
unusually conducive earlier in August.

Is easy. The blue dot is where you first voted (I voted Five) and then cast your revote for the option Six or more and that's it.

I just see the results on my end , no dots to vote

This is sceenshot of the poll and the blue dot where the members have voted first. Chose Six or more and that changes your preference and that is it.