Henri emerging into the Atlantic

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ameriwx2003
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Henri emerging into the Atlantic

#1 Postby ameriwx2003 » Sat Sep 06, 2003 11:55 am

Looking at Melbourne radar. It looks like Henri is emerging into the Atlantic. Will Henri strengthen?? or stay a wimp??:):)

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kmlb.shtml
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weatherlover427

#2 Postby weatherlover427 » Sat Sep 06, 2003 12:00 pm

I think he'll stay a wimp. Been weak from the beginning, and there are no signs of strengrthening that I can see; so weak is my guess.
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#3 Postby Tip » Sat Sep 06, 2003 12:19 pm

With that huge high to the north, it doesn't have to be that strong to cause major beach erosion from the pressure gradient (watch out this winter) from NC to NJ.
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#4 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Sat Sep 06, 2003 12:23 pm

Hopefully a wimp!! Winds are gusting to about 18 mph here and it isn't even here yet.
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#5 Postby ameriwx2003 » Sat Sep 06, 2003 12:26 pm

Yes... like Tip pointed out, the pressure gradiant will create trouble along the mid atalntic and southeast coast it appears:):)
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#6 Postby Tip » Sat Sep 06, 2003 12:32 pm

Frying Pan Shoals showing steady winds at 27kts with gusts to 3okts.

http://seaboard.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_p ... tion=fpsn7
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weatherlover427

#7 Postby weatherlover427 » Sat Sep 06, 2003 12:37 pm

31 MPH with gusts to 35 MPH FYI ;)

(that is if the conversion is 1.15 kt = 1 MPH :o )
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#8 Postby Tip » Sat Sep 06, 2003 12:45 pm

Starting to rage at Grays Reef too with gusts to 27.2kts. Looks like a classic "long fetch" wind event.
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#9 Postby ameriwx2003 » Sat Sep 06, 2003 12:49 pm

Yes and this looks like it could be a long event.. looks like alot of beach erosion also:):)
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wrkh99

#10 Postby wrkh99 » Sat Sep 06, 2003 12:58 pm

Gulf Stream vs Shear
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#11 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Sep 06, 2003 1:00 pm

Uh oh ... don't look now ...

Henri already receptive of the warm SST's ... New flare up of convection right around the LLCC.

Visible Loop SE
http://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/SAT_SE/anim8vis.html

WV imagery loop
http://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/SAT_US/anim8wv.html
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#12 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Sep 06, 2003 1:02 pm

wrkh99 wrote:Gulf Stream vs Shear


Yep ... as long as Henri continues moving NE quickly, shear is relative and it's in a light sheared environment. If Henri decides to stall as expected, then shear becomes more of a factor.

SF
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#13 Postby ameriwx2003 » Sat Sep 06, 2003 1:02 pm

SF... yes I have been noticing that.. also. interesting:):)
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#14 Postby Tip » Sat Sep 06, 2003 1:31 pm

The new Canadian Model at 12z has Henri trapped by high pressure and Isabel taking a more nothward couse than originally progged.

http://met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/cmctc2.cgi? ... hour=072hr
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weatherlover427

#15 Postby weatherlover427 » Sat Sep 06, 2003 1:34 pm

If Henri gets trapped and Izzy moves north, then what could Juan-to-be do? In fact what will all 3 do? :?
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#16 Postby Tip » Sat Sep 06, 2003 1:45 pm

Oh sh@$@. Forgot about astronomical high tides coming!

Check Upton's latest AFD

EVENTUAL
IMPACT OF HENRI WORKING NORTHEASTWARD AND STRONG RIDGE DROPPING DOWN
FROM CANADA. AT THIS TIME APPEARS TIDES WILL BE ON THE RISE AND THIS
WOULD WORK IN CONCERT WITH HIGHER THAN NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES DUE
TO A FULL MOON THIS COMING WEDNESDAY.
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Josephine96

#17 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Sep 06, 2003 2:00 pm

In a completely off topic discussion but still dealing with Henri..

We actually just got 2 bands of rain here between about 1:30 and 2:30.. There was some wind with them too..

Were those Henri's last blows on my area? or a typical afternoon storm.. There was no lightning or thunder so I think Henri had something to do with it...
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#18 Postby DelStormLover » Sat Sep 06, 2003 2:38 pm

Josephine96, That was henri's way of blowing you a goodbye kiss :P :D
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Josephine96

#19 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Sep 06, 2003 2:42 pm

LOL How sweet of him rotflmao...
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