Poll: How strong will Lee be?

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How Strong will Lee be?

Poll ended at Thu Sep 07, 2023 4:57 am

Less than 130 mph
2
5%
130 mph
2
5%
140-145 mph
1
2%
150-155 mph
10
23%
160-165 mph
11
25%
170 mph
4
9%
175 mph or greater
14
32%
 
Total votes: 44
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Beef Stew
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Poll: How strong will Lee be?

#1 Postby Beef Stew » Wed Sep 06, 2023 4:42 am

Hi mods, please create a poll with the following options:

Less than 130 mph
130 mph
140-145 mph
150-155 mph
160-165 mph
170 mph
175 mph or greater

Since I didn't see one already, I thought I'd start a thread for members to give their predictions for Lee's peak intensity. How strong (MSLP and wind) do you think Lee will be?

I'll start with (a quite possibly conservative) 135kts/155mph and 926 mb.
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underthwx
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Re: How strong will Lee be?

#2 Postby underthwx » Wed Sep 06, 2023 4:53 am

150 mph....if it's good for the NHC, it's what I go with...good morning all...
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Re: How strong will Lee be?

#3 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 06, 2023 4:57 am

Created the poll for the members to vote until Thursday at 5:56 AM EDT.
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Re: Poll: How strong will Lee be?

#4 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Wed Sep 06, 2023 5:23 am

I selected 170. I meant 150 knots haha. so 175.
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Re: Poll: How strong will Lee be?

#5 Postby kevin » Wed Sep 06, 2023 5:30 am

140 - 145 kt so I went with 160 - 165 mph.
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Re: Poll: How strong will Lee be?

#6 Postby toad strangler » Wed Sep 06, 2023 5:38 am

millibars is a tougher guess!

that said, 150-155
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Re: Poll: How strong will Lee be?

#7 Postby ElectricStorm » Wed Sep 06, 2023 8:08 am

Going bold here, 175mph/912mb
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Re: Poll: How strong will Lee be?

#8 Postby REDHurricane » Wed Sep 06, 2023 9:55 am

155 knots/180mph and 908mb
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TampaFl
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Re: Poll: How strong will Lee be?

#9 Postby TampaFl » Wed Sep 06, 2023 10:03 am

Lee could be right up there with Dorian & possible then some in IMHO. 180-185mph & 899mb!
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Re: Poll: How strong will Lee be?

#10 Postby CFLHurricane » Wed Sep 06, 2023 11:23 am

TampaFl wrote:Lee could be right up there with Dorian & possible then some in IMHO. 180-185mph & 899mb!


Totally agree Lee is going to be retired with this level of bang.
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Re: Poll: How strong will Lee be?

#11 Postby Old-TimeCane » Wed Sep 06, 2023 5:57 pm

I went with 170
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Re: Poll: How strong will Lee be?

#12 Postby Chris90 » Thu Sep 07, 2023 4:41 am

My guess is 145kts/918mb.

For those insane runs to verify it requires a perfect structure and that really comes down to chance with eyewall cycles and if the eye shrinks small enough to drop pressure like a bomb. Storms going sub-910 outside of the Gulf and Caribbean is also extremely rare, so I am having trouble buying those 900mb runs. On the other hand, Franklin did set a record for the most intense that far north with 926mb, so maybe Lee will pull off a record for the open ATL.
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