2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

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crownweather
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#121 Postby crownweather » Fri Mar 22, 2024 10:57 am

Here is mine:
25 Named Storms
12 Hurricanes
6 Major Hurricanes

ACE: 225.

I do think that the Caribbean, the southwest North Atlantic (near the Bahamas and Florida) and the Gulf of Mexico could be particularly at risk this season.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#122 Postby cycloneye » Fri Mar 22, 2024 11:02 am

crownweather wrote:Here is mine:
25 Named Storms
12 Hurricanes
6 Major Hurricanes

ACE: 225.

I do think that the Caribbean, the southwest North Atlantic (near the Bahamas and Florida) and the Gulf of Mexico could be particularly at risk this season.


Dont like the Caribbean risk area. You are #47 on the list.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#123 Postby Stormblessed » Sun Mar 24, 2024 1:31 pm

24/13/6 ACE 240
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#124 Postby cycloneye » Sun Mar 24, 2024 3:37 pm

Stormblessed wrote:24/13/6 ACE 240


You are #48 on the list.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#125 Postby Kennethb » Mon Mar 25, 2024 5:27 pm

22/9/4, 199 ACE
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#126 Postby cycloneye » Mon Mar 25, 2024 5:39 pm

Kennethb wrote:22/9/4, 199 ACE


You are #49 onn the list.

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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#127 Postby CyclonicFury » Tue Mar 26, 2024 11:04 am

21-10-5 ACE 180 preliminary

Here are some thoughts on the season on my blog:
https://www.cyclonicfury.com/2024/03/26 ... utlookmar/
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#128 Postby cycloneye » Tue Mar 26, 2024 11:18 am

The poll has reached 50 participants and so far, the average of the poll is 23/12/6.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#129 Postby kevin » Tue Mar 26, 2024 12:18 pm

cycloneye wrote:The poll has reached 50 participants and so far, the average of the poll is 23/12/6.


Wow even using the average numbers, this year's Storm2k forecast would have the 3rd most NS, a shared 3rd place for the most hurricanes and major hurricanes (all only behind 2005 and 2020). The average ACE of the participants so far is 200.6, which would be the 9th highest ACE since 1851 and the highest since 2017.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#130 Postby cycloneye » Wed Mar 27, 2024 9:59 am

The AccuWeather forecast is up so I guess members will come to participate.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#131 Postby Cat5James » Wed Mar 27, 2024 11:56 am

NS: 19
H: 10
MH: 4
ACE: 175
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#132 Postby cycloneye » Wed Mar 27, 2024 12:03 pm

Cat5James wrote:NS: 19
H: 10
MH: 4
ACE: 175


You are #51 on the list of participants.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#133 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Mar 27, 2024 1:50 pm

With El Nino fading, water warm, but uncertainty about wind shear, here are my preliminary thoughts:

25 / 11 / 4

ACE 142
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#134 Postby Matlachamullethead » Wed Mar 27, 2024 6:13 pm

Here goes nothing. 23/11/5
ACE 195. Still in recovery mode 18 months later from Ian here on Pine Island/Matlacha.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#135 Postby cycloneye » Wed Mar 27, 2024 6:20 pm

Matlachamullethead wrote:Here goes nothing. 23/11/5
ACE 195. Still in recovery mode 18 months later from Ian here on Pine Island/Matlacha.


#53 on the list.

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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#136 Postby ChrisH-UK » Wed Mar 27, 2024 7:10 pm

NS=26 H=12 M=5 ACE=170

Reasoning over the last few years the trend has been for more on the Tropical storm end and not as many hurricanes, I think we will get into the supplement names but not as a huge ace as some people think.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#137 Postby cycloneye » Wed Mar 27, 2024 7:31 pm

ChrisH-UK wrote:NS=26 H=12 M=5 ACE=170

Reasoning over the last few years the trend has been for more on the Tropical storm end and not as many hurricanes, I think we will get into the supplement names but not as a huge ace as some people think.


You are #54 on the list of participants.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#138 Postby NessFrogVenom » Thu Mar 28, 2024 6:31 pm

22 Named Storms
10 Hurricanes
4 Major Hurricanes

185 ACE

Preliminary
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#139 Postby Audrey2Katrina » Thu Mar 28, 2024 6:44 pm

23/9/3 ACE= 181 (Final) :flag:
Last edited by Audrey2Katrina on Tue Apr 30, 2024 1:20 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#140 Postby cycloneye » Thu Mar 28, 2024 7:19 pm

There are now 56 participants in the poll. The averages with the 56 are 23/12/5.

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