2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

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cycloneye
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#241 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 02, 2024 7:41 pm

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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#242 Postby Old-TimeCane » Fri May 03, 2024 12:57 am

Please update mine (number 22 on the list) to the following (not much change):

25/14/6 ACE 205 FINAL!
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#243 Postby cycloneye » Fri May 03, 2024 4:31 am

Old-TimeCane wrote:Please update mine (number 22 on the list) to the following (not much change):

25/14/6 ACE 205 FINAL!


Done.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#244 Postby cycloneye » Sat May 04, 2024 11:18 am

Only 26 days are left for the poll to close. If members are waiting for more season forecasts, there will be two more before the poll closes and are:

NOAA=May 23
TSR=May 30

https://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/g ... sive&csz=1
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#245 Postby skyline385 » Sat May 04, 2024 12:24 pm

Prefer to be little cautious with predictions but doesn't seem like its going to be the case this year so

28/16/7 with ACE of 230
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#246 Postby cycloneye » Sat May 04, 2024 12:33 pm

skyline385 wrote:Prefer to be little cautious with predictions but doesn't seem like its going to be the case this year so

28/16/7 with ACE of 230


You are #78 on the list of participants.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#247 Postby TheAustinMan » Sat May 04, 2024 10:51 pm

Nearly 2 months in, and the general expectation of season activity has been remarkably consistent for how active the outlook has been. Currently, the average stands at 22.9 named storms, 11.8 hurricanes, and 5.5 major hurricanes, with an average ACE of 199.5. These all remain record highs for the poll, coming ahead of 2006 in all storm count categories (and 2010 for ACE, as guesses for ACE began after 2008).

I'll probably submit another guess after the NMME forecast is available on or after May 8.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#248 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 05, 2024 2:36 pm

Ok folks, the seasonal ECMWF came out today, so one more forecast that may decide people to come and participate or those who have preliminary ones, to finalize them.

25 days and counting.

https://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/g ... sive&csz=1
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#249 Postby DorkyMcDorkface » Sun May 05, 2024 2:50 pm

I'm think I'm gonna go ahead and up my NS count by 2, both my HU and MH count by 1, and ACE by 5 points. So 21/12/6 195 ACE now. Go ahead and finalize it, while you're at it.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#250 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 05, 2024 3:02 pm

DorkyMcDorkface wrote:I'm think I'm gonna go ahead and up my NS count by 2, both my HU and MH count by 1, and ACE by 5 points. So 21/12/6 195 ACE now. Go ahead and finalize it, while you're at it.


Done.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#251 Postby IcyTundra » Sun May 05, 2024 3:04 pm

22/11/6 215 ACE. Final prediction
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#252 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 05, 2024 3:12 pm

IcyTundra wrote:22/11/6 215 ACE. Final prediction


Added at #79 on the list of participants.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#253 Postby Cleveland Kent Evans » Sun May 05, 2024 4:57 pm

27/13/8
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#254 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 05, 2024 5:11 pm

Cleveland Kent Evans wrote:27/13/8


Added as #80.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#255 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 05, 2024 6:35 pm

The poll has reached 80 participants and the average is 23/12/6. The members can see the graphic above the list of participants,whens it updates as members post numbers or finilize their preliminary ones.

https://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopi ... 1&t=123986
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#256 Postby AnnularCane » Sun May 05, 2024 9:42 pm

25/12/7 Final

I'm #6.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#257 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 05, 2024 9:58 pm

AnnularCane wrote:25/12/7 Final

I'm #6.


Done.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#258 Postby Kat5 » Mon May 06, 2024 9:00 am

26/12/5 final
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#259 Postby Ntxw » Mon May 06, 2024 9:11 am

23/11/6 ACE 188.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#260 Postby cycloneye » Mon May 06, 2024 9:59 am

Both above added as #81 and #82.List of participants.
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