2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: 111 members are participating

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chaser1
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#301 Postby chaser1 » Sun May 19, 2024 12:46 pm

skyline385 wrote:
hurricanehunter69 wrote:The smart money bet is always the under when the pros forecast hyper active. The reason I think the under is once again the smart bet is because of an active SAL. 20/9/4


Just saying, 2020 had a very active SAL and in fact one of the strongest SAL outbreaks recorded in June 2020 which put all of SFL under a brown haze (I was living there). And you know how that season went.


Indeed; reminds me of an old mariner saying I once never heard....

"Grey sky in the morning, sailor take warning; grey sky at night, sailors delight (unless it's peripheral sinking air due to subsidence in which case you still could be screwed) :ggreen:
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#302 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 19, 2024 12:58 pm

Ok folks. This thread is to post numbers for the poll or change to final numbers, and is not to make comments about someones numbers. All have the right to post whatever numbers they choose and this annual poll facilitates that.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#303 Postby Monsoonjr99 » Mon May 20, 2024 12:57 pm

24 TS / 13 HU / 6 MH / 199 ACE (prelim, but I don't expect to change it so likely final)

Methinks we might see the return of the classic C4+ Caribbean cruiser this year. :eek:
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Some Californian who codes things and tracks weather.

Kay '22, Hilary '23

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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#304 Postby cycloneye » Mon May 20, 2024 1:12 pm

Monsoonjr99 wrote:24 TS / 13 HU / 6 MH / 199 ACE (prelim, but I don't expect to change it so likely final)

Methinks we might see the return of the classic C4+ Caribbean cruiser this year. :eek:


Added at #88 on the list as final, with only less that 10 days left.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#305 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 21, 2024 10:42 am

Now in single digits, the closing of poll.

https://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/g ... nt=cursive
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#306 Postby PavelGaborik10 » Tue May 21, 2024 7:15 pm

25 NS -- 11 Hurricanes -- 4 Majors
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#307 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 21, 2024 7:29 pm

PavelGaborik10 wrote:25 NS -- 11 Hurricanes -- 4 Majors


You are #89 on the list.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#308 Postby cycloneye » Wed May 22, 2024 10:58 am

Only 10 more to reach 100 and only 8 days for the poll to close. Almost all the experts, private firms and agencies are out with their forecasts with only NOAA left that comes out on thursday, so I think many minds have been made up. :D

https://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/g ... nt=cursive
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#309 Postby kevin » Thu May 23, 2024 9:35 am

Update to my entry (still preliminary as I might still want to change it one of the coming days). Increase in ACE due to new forecasts and SSTs.

I'm #39.

39- kevin= 23/12/6 ACE: 220 (Preliminary)
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#310 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 23, 2024 12:16 pm

Ok folks. There are no more excuses to not participate in the final 7 days after NOAA came out.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#311 Postby AutoPenalti » Thu May 23, 2024 1:24 pm

25/13/5
ACE: 235

Some long trackers for sure.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#312 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 23, 2024 1:43 pm

AutoPenalti wrote:25/13/5
ACE: 235

Some long trackers for sure.


#90 on the list.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#313 Postby KirbyDude25 » Thu May 23, 2024 4:30 pm

Updating mine slightly to 26/13/6, 220 ACE. I'm #10 on the list, this one's final.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#314 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 23, 2024 4:52 pm

KirbyDude25 wrote:Updating mine slightly to 26/13/6, 220 ACE. I'm #10 on the list, this one's final.


Done.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#315 Postby FireRat » Thu May 23, 2024 6:29 pm

25/11/7
ACE 225

Thinking 1964 on crack.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#316 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 23, 2024 6:42 pm

FireRat wrote:25/11/7
ACE 225

Thinking 1964 on crack.


You are #91 on the list.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#317 Postby KN2731 » Thu May 23, 2024 6:48 pm

#32 on the list - revising my numbers upwards to 26/12/6 and 215 ACE (final). Thinking we could see a few more long trackers with increased favorability further east in the MDR.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#318 Postby Teban54 » Thu May 23, 2024 6:50 pm

Updating mine (#4) to: 22/14/6, 210 ACE, final
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#319 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 23, 2024 6:52 pm

KN2731 wrote:#32 on the list - revising my numbers upwards to 26/12/6 and 215 ACE (final). Thinking we could see a few more long trackers with increased favorability further east in the MDR.


Done.
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Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

#320 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 23, 2024 7:29 pm

Teban54, Hurricane2022, it looks like it will reach 100.
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