is good news and bad news. The good news, Isabel should weaken slightly after 72 hours due to unfavorable atmospheric conditions.
The bad news, Isabel may turn slightly south of due west as it is weakening, threatening the Lesser Antilles.
This is one to watch for sure and future forecasts may have to be shifted to the left after 96 hours.
18Z model guidance
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ameriwx2003
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cycloneye
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Americwx2003 I ask yesterday that same question and Derek replied that there was computer problems with it but I know that may would want to see the lats and longs of the models going to 120 hours not just the grafic with the lines.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
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and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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ameriwx2003
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Derek Ortt
SHIPS peaks this just below cat 3 in about T+60 then weakens it to a borderline cat 1/2
I do not use the ohio state or the other sites, but instead the atcf file, which I will not post here as it sometimes contains the official forecasts before the issuance of the official advisory. I primarily use this for research purposes to see what models are performing the best, in the event that we end up simulating a particular storm, so we know which model to base our initial conditions off of
I do not use the ohio state or the other sites, but instead the atcf file, which I will not post here as it sometimes contains the official forecasts before the issuance of the official advisory. I primarily use this for research purposes to see what models are performing the best, in the event that we end up simulating a particular storm, so we know which model to base our initial conditions off of
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ameriwx2003
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:)
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ncweatherwizard
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bkhusky2 wrote:I have a question, why is the GOES Floater 1 looking at just open ocean?
And if this thing were to enter the Caribbean, would it then turn north back into the Atlantic?
That floater was on Fabian and it hasn't moved since Fabian is no longer a threat and is almost extratropical. And why Floater 2 is still on the pathetic Henri is beyond me.
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