North Central Gulf Area of Interest

[cycloneye]

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Jul 22 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

North-Central Gulf:
A trough of low pressure on the southern end of a frontal boundary
is currently located just offshore of the Southeastern U.S. coast.
Over the next few days, this system is forecast to move
west-southwestward into the north-central portion of the Gulf, where
environmental conditions could allow for some slow development if
the system remains far enough offshore. By this weekend, the system
is likely to move inland, ending its chances for development.
Regardless of formation, heavy rainfall could be possible for
portions of the northern Gulf coast through this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin

[BobHarlem]

Round 2... fight.

Reposting, since I just had posted this in the 93L thread, since it's effectively a long term continuation (rebirth) of it:

Last visible loop of the day on the area and a radar image




Maybe the area due east of Daytona?

18z GFS doesn't do much with it, however it loops back into the Atlantic and again into the Gulf for a 3rd time later, when it eventually does. Round 3?

[Category5Kaiju]

So, if an invest suddenly springs back to life, then does it get a new name or its old name?

[cycloneye]

So, if an invest suddenly springs back to life, then does it get a new name or its old name?

Would be 95L.

[BobHarlem]

So, if an invest suddenly springs back to life, then does it get a new name or its old name?

New name, it's heavily related but not the same. Parts of 93L are also over the Texas hill country now too.

[Wampadawg]

So, if an invest suddenly springs back to life, then does it get a new name or its old name?

Part Deux

[BobHarlem]

It looks very disorganized this go around east of Florida.

[cycloneye]

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jul 23 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

North-Central Gulf:
A trough of low pressure near the southeastern U.S. coast is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Over the next day
or two, this system is forecast to move west-southwestward into the
north-central portion of the Gulf where some slow development is
possible. By this weekend, the system is likely to move inland,
ending its chances for development. Regardless of tropical cyclone
formation, locally heavy rainfall is possible for portions of
Florida over the next day or so, and for the northern Gulf coast
through this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

[BobHarlem]

6z GFS doesn't do much with it this go around, (although wait for it to loop around again after part of it splits into Texas the first time)

[wxman57]

I'm not sure why the NHC has it east of northern FL today. Its vorticity crossed Florida and moved into the NE Gulf last night. Should be south of LA tomorrow. No model support for any significant development beyond a weak surface low.

[jaguars_22]

Is it just me or does the area of convection near Mississippi have rotation to it and a recent burst of convection near the spin?

[Ivanhater]

When it loops around again for the 3rd time next week looks more interesting. 3rd time the charm?

Either way. Heavy rain which is welcome with this oppressive heat

[TomballEd]

500 mb and 850 mb maxes at landfall on Euro are not quite as far apart on 'landfall' of the 850 and 500 mb vort maxes, but they are still not aligned. Again, the system is moving just behind a more favorable area of shear but it experiencing enough shear not to organize,

Still bringing PW well over 2 inches, Port O'Connor right at 2.5 inches 18Z Friday per GFS. About an inch of rain in SETX per Euro, GFS and ensembles. I was expecting more.

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