Weak frontal low east of Florida
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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redingtonbeach
- Tropical Depression
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tropicwatch
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Re: Weak frontal low over east central Florida
Possible surface circulation in that area.
https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-79.89,24.63,2184
https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-79.89,24.63,2184
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Tropicwatch
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
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Re: Weak frontal low over east central Florida
Looks right over Melbourne or just south of there traveling south along along I-95 https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-Orlando-03-24-1-100-1&checked=latlon-map-plot-glm_flash-ww&colorbar=undefined
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
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tropicwatch
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Re: Weak frontal low over east central Florida
It's impressive looking and bringing brisk winds to the central Florida peninsula.
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Tropicwatch
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
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redingtonbeach
- Tropical Depression
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- Joined: Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:05 am
Re: Weak frontal low over east central Florida
Very impressive - now covers most of the state. Waterspouts are occurring in the Keys and Daytona areas. Barometer only to 29.928 in Orlando area but brisk wind with gusts to 25 and growing.
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USTropics
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Re: Weak frontal low over east central Florida
This is associated with the sagging front and persistent troughing over the eastern U.S.:
Expect a multitude of edge waves within the barotropic instability boundary (like the one that is currently associated with the low pressure everyone is observing here). This is a really cool atmospheric response to temperature and pressure gradients, and difficult to model (I have an in-depth post that covers the dynamics and synoptics of this situation). We definitely need a high-resolution model that can model vertical ascent and vorticity (like the HRRR or FV3 model):
Chances of anything truly tropical developing is slim while within the frontal zone, but the effects will be similar (very gusty winds, potential riptide issues, and rain).
Expect a multitude of edge waves within the barotropic instability boundary (like the one that is currently associated with the low pressure everyone is observing here). This is a really cool atmospheric response to temperature and pressure gradients, and difficult to model (I have an in-depth post that covers the dynamics and synoptics of this situation). We definitely need a high-resolution model that can model vertical ascent and vorticity (like the HRRR or FV3 model):
Chances of anything truly tropical developing is slim while within the frontal zone, but the effects will be similar (very gusty winds, potential riptide issues, and rain).
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