Request For Wx57 or other pros or experienced weather enthusiasts

[stormsurf]

First, thanks to all the great posters on this board and the people who run Storm2k.

I live on A1A in Boca Raton, just north of Deerfield Pier. Have lived here 30 years, been through all of the storms. At our last condo meeting, the president of our association informed the other unit owners that "Due to global warming, weather patterns have changed and storms no longer hit the east coast of Florida. All storms hit the west coast and due to this, we are dropping our master windstorm policy. Many and most unit owners believed this and I could get very little time to correct the misinformation.

I would very much like the opinions of people on here about the reality of that statement, so I may share it with some people who really don't know much about hurricanes.

One last question: would any of you live on the ocean in Palm Beach County and not have windstorm insurance? Thanks very much!

[USTropics]

First, thanks to all the great posters on this board and the people who run Storm2k.

I live on A1A in Boca Raton, just north of Deerfield Pier. Have lived here 30 years, been through all of the storms. At our last condo meeting, the president of our association informed the other unit owners that "Due to global warming, weather patterns have changed and storms no longer hit the east coast of Florida. All storms hit the west coast and due to this, we are dropping our master windstorm policy. Many and most unit owners believed this and I could get very little time to correct the misinformation.

I would very much like the opinions of people on here about the reality of that statement, so I may share it with some people who really don't know much about hurricanes.

One last question: would any of you live on the ocean in Palm Beach County and not have windstorm insurance? Thanks very much!

That is extreme recency bias and hedges on the side of negligence. There is NO research or data that suggests this to be true. I would ask them for the data/research they are using for these conclusions (I haven't seen any that correlate global warming to reduced storm tracks for specific locations in Florida). This a reoccurrence map for tropical cyclones, and I would show them this (and ask them to debunk it with their data):



As for your last question, I would 100% carry windstorm insurance if I lived anywhere on the Florida coastline. The same way Perry, Florida just had multiple major hurricanes in back-to-back years with a 105+ year return period can happen in any location.

[stormsurf]

Thank you the return period. Chart is exactly what I was looking for. My stories from hurricane Andrew weren’t enough. And even more insane, they,re being advised by two owners that sell insurance. None of them have ever been through a hurricane.

[weeniepatrol]

That is ABSOLUTELY RIDICULOUS!!!! A textbook example of complacency bordering on maliciousness.

How did the record drought of no us major hurricanes between Wilma 2005 and Harvey 2017 end? Yeah, distant memory now.

Just because it’s quiet now doesn’t mean it will stay quiet. This is, like, hurricanes 101…

I will be frank here, maybe too frank. It sounds like BS just to save $$$!

[TomballEd]

First, thanks to all the great posters on this board and the people who run Storm2k.

I live on A1A in Boca Raton, just north of Deerfield Pier. Have lived here 30 years, been through all of the storms. At our last condo meeting, the president of our association informed the other unit owners that "Due to global warming, weather patterns have changed and storms no longer hit the east coast of Florida. All storms hit the west coast and due to this, we are dropping our master windstorm policy. Many and most unit owners believed this and I could get very little time to correct the misinformation.

I would very much like the opinions of people on here about the reality of that statement, so I may share it with some people who really don't know much about hurricanes.

One last question: would any of you live on the ocean in Palm Beach County and not have windstorm insurance? Thanks very much!

Can you get windstorm on just your unit? (No idea how condos work) 21 years isn't enough time to say the threat is over. I get windstorm insurance in Florida can't be getting cheaper.

Residents have a Facebook group?

[TomballEd]

First, thanks to all the great posters on this board and the people who run Storm2k.

I live on A1A in Boca Raton, just north of Deerfield Pier. Have lived here 30 years, been through all of the storms. At our last condo meeting, the president of our association informed the other unit owners that "Due to global warming, weather patterns have changed and storms no longer hit the east coast of Florida. All storms hit the west coast and due to this, we are dropping our master windstorm policy. Many and most unit owners believed this and I could get very little time to correct the misinformation.

I would very much like the opinions of people on here about the reality of that statement, so I may share it with some people who really don't know much about hurricanes.

One last question: would any of you live on the ocean in Palm Beach County and not have windstorm insurance? Thanks very much!

That is extreme recency bias and hedges on the side of negligence. There is NO research or data that suggests this to be true. I would ask them for the data/research they are using for these conclusions (I haven't seen any that correlate global warming to reduced storm tracks for specific locations in Florida). This a reoccurrence map for tropical cyclones, and I would show them this (and ask them to debunk it with their data):

https://i.imgur.com/gr4Wv8u.png

As for your last question, I would 100% carry windstorm insurance if I lived anywhere on the Florida coastline. The same way Perry, Florida just had multiple major hurricanes in back-to-back years with a 105+ year return period can happen in any location.

Those numbers old? Feels like the Florida Panhandle/Big Bend should have a lower return frequency. Granted a couple of bad years doesn't climo make.

[USTropics]

First, thanks to all the great posters on this board and the people who run Storm2k.

I live on A1A in Boca Raton, just north of Deerfield Pier. Have lived here 30 years, been through all of the storms. At our last condo meeting, the president of our association informed the other unit owners that "Due to global warming, weather patterns have changed and storms no longer hit the east coast of Florida. All storms hit the west coast and due to this, we are dropping our master windstorm policy. Many and most unit owners believed this and I could get very little time to correct the misinformation.

I would very much like the opinions of people on here about the reality of that statement, so I may share it with some people who really don't know much about hurricanes.

One last question: would any of you live on the ocean in Palm Beach County and not have windstorm insurance? Thanks very much!

That is extreme recency bias and hedges on the side of negligence. There is NO research or data that suggests this to be true. I would ask them for the data/research they are using for these conclusions (I haven't seen any that correlate global warming to reduced storm tracks for specific locations in Florida). This a reoccurrence map for tropical cyclones, and I would show them this (and ask them to debunk it with their data):

https://i.imgur.com/gr4Wv8u.png

As for your last question, I would 100% carry windstorm insurance if I lived anywhere on the Florida coastline. The same way Perry, Florida just had multiple major hurricanes in back-to-back years with a 105+ year return period can happen in any location.

Those numbers old? Feels like the Florida Panhandle/Big Bend should have a lower return frequency. Granted a couple of bad years doesn't climo make.

Yes, it was from a research article about ~6 years ago I believe so was peer-reviewed. Just found this from NOAA (for just hurricanes, but updated through 2024):


The graphic below is a bit busier, but updated through 2024 for strongest hurricane strikes (not peer-reviewed, but looks accurate to me):