Isabel Forecast / Advisory

[weatherlover427]

HURRICANE ISABEL ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN SEP 07 2003

...ISABEL CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISABEL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.2 WEST OR ABOUT 1430
MILES...2300 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

ISABEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH
...24 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 90 MILES...150 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...16.1 N... 40.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 979 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST.

FORECASTER JARVINEN


HURRICANE ISABEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132003
0300Z MON SEP 08 2003

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 40.2W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB
EYE DIAMETER 35 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..140NE 120SE 120SW 140NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 40.2W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 39.6W

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 16.8N 42.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 17.7N 44.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 18.5N 46.9W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.2N 49.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 19.7N 53.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 65SE 65SW 80NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 20.2N 56.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 20.5N 60.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 40.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z

FORECASTER JARVINEN