ISABEL NOW A MAJOR HURRICANE

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
AussieMark
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5858
Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2003 6:36 pm
Location: near Sydney, Australia

ISABEL NOW A MAJOR HURRICANE

#1 Postby AussieMark » Mon Sep 08, 2003 9:53 am

000
WTNT33 KNHC 081430
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISABEL ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON SEP 08 2003

...ISABEL STRENGTHENS INTO THE SECOND MAJOR HURRICANE OF THE YEAR...

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF MAJOR HURRICANE ISABEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.6 WEST OR ABOUT
1265 MILES...2040 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

ISABEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH
...22 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...MAKING ISABEL A CATEGORY 3...MAJOR HURRICANE...ON THE SAFFIR
SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND ISABEL COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 4
HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR ON TUESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...17.2 N... 42.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 962 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART
0 likes   
Top
Anonymous

#2 Postby Anonymous » Mon Sep 08, 2003 9:57 am

what scares me is that it could be a cat. 4 before the end of today.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
weathergymnast
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 123
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 11:47 am
Contact:
Contact weathergymnast

#3 Postby weathergymnast » Mon Sep 08, 2003 9:58 am

A cat 4 by the end of the day.. yea that would be scary.. Could it level off today as well.. as in stop its northern movement???
0 likes   
Top
Anonymous

#4 Postby Anonymous » Mon Sep 08, 2003 10:00 am

well from what I understand the track has shifted a little to the left so that makes it worse for the islands, way to close for comfort.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
JCT777
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6251
Joined: Mon Oct 14, 2002 9:21 am
Location: Spring Mount, PA
Contact:
Contact JCT777

#5 Postby JCT777 » Mon Sep 08, 2003 10:09 am

Cat 4 by the end of the day is certainly possible, if it keep intensifying as it has been. Isabel certainly means business!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Lindaloo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 22658
Joined: Sat Mar 29, 2003 10:06 am
Location: Pascagoula, MS

#6 Postby Lindaloo » Mon Sep 08, 2003 10:19 am

I thought she was supposed to weaken some?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
AussieMark
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5858
Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2003 6:36 pm
Location: near Sydney, Australia

#7 Postby AussieMark » Mon Sep 08, 2003 10:26 am

Aparently not seems to be getting stronger

and if what what happened with Fabaian (difficulty in forcasting strength) repeats then don't be surprised if Isabelle reaches 150 mph at peak.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: duilaslol, gib, OuterBanker, tolakram and 67 guests