12Z ECMWF Still Indicating SE U.S. Threat

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 22980
Age: 67
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

12Z ECMWF Still Indicating SE U.S. Threat

#1 Postby wxman57 » Mon Sep 08, 2003 8:53 pm

Here's the 7-day loop:
http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/loop.ecmwf850t.html

And the final panel valid 12Z Monday Sept. 15th. Note the weaker ridge north of Isabel at 168hrs, possibly indicating a turn soon:

http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ECMWF/e ... mp_168.gif
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ameriwx2003
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 980
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 10:45 am

#2 Postby ameriwx2003 » Mon Sep 08, 2003 9:04 pm

Yes, a possible turn and a possible slowing of the forward speed??
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wow
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 237
Joined: Thu Jul 10, 2003 6:59 pm
Location: Raleigh, NC

#3 Postby wow » Mon Sep 08, 2003 9:08 pm

european drives it into cuba


day 10
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hurricanedude
Military Member
Military Member
Posts: 1856
Joined: Tue Oct 08, 2002 9:54 am
Location: Virginia Beach, Virginia
Contact:
Contact hurricanedude

#4 Postby hurricanedude » Mon Sep 08, 2003 9:10 pm

Hey, that brings if uncomfortably close to the Virginia Coast....I dont like that
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 22980
Age: 67
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Cuba

#5 Postby wxman57 » Mon Sep 08, 2003 9:15 pm

wow wrote:european drives it into cuba


[url=http://cyclone.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc.cgi?re=camer&mo=ecmwf≤=500&va=hght&in=30&pl=cf&ft=10day&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=&cu=latest]day 10[/url]


That URL is to the 72-hr average 500 mb map, not the surface pressure map. It doesn't mean it will be over Cuba at day 10. It does suggest a south Florida, hit, though.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: duilaslol, Google [Bot], lilbump3000, StormWeather and 52 guests