Super Typhoon Maemi (15W)

[senorpepr]

WTPN32 PGTW 091500 RTD
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. SUPER TYPHOON 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
091200Z2 --- NEAR 22.9N3 128.8E9
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM
REPEAT POSIT: 22.9N3 128.8E9
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z1 --- 24.2N8 127.6E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z4 --- 25.0N7 127.0E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z2 --- 26.3N1 126.6E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z5 --- 28.5N5 126.5E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z6 --- 33.4N0 129.0E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z7 --- 38.8N9 136.5E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z8 --- 43.3N0 148.9E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
091500Z5 POSITION NEAR 23.2N7 128.5E6.
SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
205 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH
WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION
IS BASED ON 091130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE
WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES
OF 102 AND 140 KNOTS. A 091015Z6 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS A 24 NM EYE.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z2 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO
WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION NEXT WARNINGS
AT 092100Z2, 100300Z4, 100900Z0, AND 101500Z7.//