I posted this in another thread just wanted everyone to see it...
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
207 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2003
CURRENTLY...ANOTHER QUIET NIGHT WITH NOTHING ON RADAR AND MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES ON PRE-ECLIPSE SAT IMAGERY.
SHORT TERM (WED-FRI)...DRY AIR STILL HANGING TOUGH WITH VIRTUALLY NO
RAINFALL ANYWHERE IN THE FA YESTERDAY. GFS SEEMED TO HANDLE PW'S
QUITE WELL AND WILL BE LEANING IN THAT DIRECTION. MESOETA SUGGESTS
WE WILL HAVE SUFFICIENT SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE AND MOISTURE TO
GENERATE SOME LATE AFTERNOON CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST TODAY. IF
THAT HAPPENS...IT PROBABLY WOULDN'T BE UNTIL EAST COAST SURGE
CLEARS THE WEST COAST...AND THAT COULD WELL BE A LITTLE TOO LATE FOR
CONVECTION. WILL KEEP POPS LESS THAN 20 PERCENT THROUGH TONIGHT...
THEN INTRODUCE 20 POPS ON THURSDAY. MESOETA AGAIN SUGGESTING ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND CONVERGENCE FOR SOME SHOWERS/THUNDER ON THURSDAY. GFS
DRIES US OUT EVEN MORE ON FRIDAY...BUT DONT WANT TO CHASE RUN-TO-RUN
INCONSISTENCIES SO WILL KEEP LOW END SCT POPS IN TO INDICATE AT
LEAST THE START OF HEADING BACK TO NORMAL POPS FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR. WILL STILL SEE LOWS A COUPLE DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING WITH LOWER THAN NORMAL DEW POINTS ASSOCIATED WITH
DRIER AIR MASS.
EXTENDED (SAT-TUE)...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION ON SATURDAY WILL SHIFT SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
AND EXTEND SWWD ACROSS THE NORTHERN PENINSULA ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY
AS REMNANTS OF HENRI FINALLY WASHES OUT. SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY THE GFS
AND MRF SHOW A FRONT MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN PENINSULA ON TUESDAY
WHERE IT WILL WASH OUT WITH LITTLE IMPACT ON OUR SENSIBLE WEATHER.
WITH THE RIDGE REMAINING TO OUR NORTH AND EAST AN EAST SOUTHEAST WIND
FLOW WILL BE MAINTAINED...WHICH WILL HELP TO SLOWLY INCREASE MOISTURE
LEVELS ACROSS THE FA. THIS INCREASE IN MOISTURE SHOULD FAVOR LOW TO
MID RANGE (30-40%) SCATTERED POPS ALONG SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS EACH
AFTERNOON...AND WILL DEPICT THIS IN THE GRIDS. TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE NEAR SEASONAL LEVELS.
.MARINE...NO HIGHLIGHTS AS WINDS AND SEAS REMAIN BELOW
CRITICAL VALUES THROUGH THE PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY NUMBERS:
TPA 089/073 089/073 89 10213
FMY 090/074 090/073 89 10213
GIF 091/071 091/072 90 10213
SRQ 089/071 089/071 88 10213
BKV 088/066 088/066 89 10213
A clue perhaps
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