My personal afternoon thoughts...

[Josephine96]

As I myself along with the rest of my entire area just about continues to watch our dear friend Isabel, the track it continues is finally starting to make it look like Florida is the light at the end of her tunnel.

In my opinion Central and South Florida both will take a direct hit from this thing. If you ask me how, it's very simple. If Isabel expands in size.. then she'll either have Central Florida see her north side if she makes landfall in South Florida or South Florida will see her South Side if she makes landfall in Central Florida.

I also believe if she stays a Cat 4 or even somehow makes it up to Cat 5.. when she is marching through the Bahamian Island Chain, NHC should put up a watch or even a warning for an area from Miami clear up to Daytona.. because Isabel is going to be a very direct threat to Florida if she decides to come this way.

Those are my opinions.. thoughts welcome

[Stephanie]

This is assuming that she stays on her westward track and doesn't recurve. It's still days away, everyone from Florida to New England will just have to keep watching.

[Josephine96]

True.. Good call.. She could still recurve... but I don't know how likely that is at this point...

[Stephanie]

I know the GFS has her hitting Cuba and then heading for the GOM. That's one heck of an extreme compared to yesterday when she was hanging out in the Atlantic next to Florida and then heading up the coast. I realize that the GFS also had her movement pretty much at a stand still. At any rate, from what I remember of this model in particular is that it tends to go from one extreme to another and then back as it gets closer to D-Day.

We'll be on pins and needles for the next several days, that's for sure! :o

[slosh]

Does anyone think a track like Donna is a possibility?

[JCT777]

Luckily, we still have at least a week to watch Isabel before she would make it close to the U.S. And things can definitely change in that time.