Miami we may have a problem.....

#1 Postby **Stormcenter** » Fri Sep 12, 2003 11:03 pm

O.K. this it what the models are currently predicting.(click on link below)

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... model.html

But this is what we have happening right now. (Click on link below)

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

I know that lately I've been predicting that may she may be a fish storm. Now I think I may have to change my mind. SE Florida you MAY have a problem here. Yet still to early to call.

#2 Postby **Frank P** » Fri Sep 12, 2003 11:18 pm

maybe maybe not... she starts getting into that wnw track after midnight then the NHC probably has a pretty good handle on it...

she keeps on that due west track, or even just north of due west for 12-24 hours..... then you might be right.... next day or so gonna get interesting for florida if it stays west...

still gonna go with the WNW forecast... NHC done relatively good so far, and they had Fabian pegged right on..... but.... ya never really know for sure...

#3 Postby **ericinmia** » Fri Sep 12, 2003 11:56 pm

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 275/8. ISABEL REMAINS SOUTH OF A DEEP-LAYER
ANTICYCLONE THAT IS PROVIDING THE WESTWARD STEERING CURRENT. THIS
ANTICYCLONE CONTINUES WESTWARD IN STEP WITH THE HURRICANE...AND
MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT ON A WEST TO
WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS.

The NHC is predicting this same thing, with the high!!

Could this trend continue through landfall in the south somewhere... If the storm was to continue fueling the high and it was to concurrently remain ahead of it .... theses models are going to look very useless!

I hope this changes soon... while another part of me really want's to see a hurricane's fury... i don't know what it is about the attraction but many of the people in this forum have it, we sure are an odd bunch.

All the people I talk to in MIA are terrified as they should be of this storm!
THESE NEXT FEW HOURS ARE GOING TO BE IMPERATIVE FOR THE NORTHLY TURN!

#4 Postby **Frank P** » Sat Sep 13, 2003 12:07 am

well 275 is not WNW... it basically just north of due west.... makes a big difference over a long period of time... true WNW is 292.5 degrees... lets see if she picks that WNW component during the early hours of the morning today..

Josephine96 · #5 Postby **Josephine96** » Sat Sep 13, 2003 12:09 am

Isabel may have even picked up speed a little.. Please forgive me if I'm dead wrong. but she does NOT look like she's moving 9 mph

Miami we may have a problem.....

Miami we may have a problem.....

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