Fish Dreams FINISHED?-Is this headed to CONUS?

rob8303 · #1 Postby **rob8303** » Sat Sep 13, 2003 11:41 am

Are the fish dreams finished? All I've read so far this morning indicates Bermuda is safe, CONUS is not! Is that true? :cry:

#2 Postby **ncweatherwizard** » Sat Sep 13, 2003 11:44 am

There are only two ways that the East Coast will not be hit the way I see it. 1) Isabel slows down and then gets steered northward and northwestward at the same forecast period as predicted now, just south of NC and out to see. 2) My track forecast ends at 75 west at 120 hours, with a little bit of westward movement still at 144 hours. There is a chance, that Isabel could turn north-northwest just before reaching the NC coast, and run parallel to the coast, but it would be so close to the coast, that the beaches would still feel impact, and we would likely have a direct hit anyway.

rob8303 · #3 Postby **rob8303** » Sat Sep 13, 2003 11:46 am

ncweatherwizard wrote:There are only two ways that the East Coast will not be hit the way I see it. 1) Isabel slows down and then gets steered northward and northwestward at the same forecast period as predicted now, just south of NC and out to see. 2) My track forecast ends at 75 west at 120 hours, with a little bit of westward movement still at 144 hours. There is a chance, that Isabel could turn north-northwest just before reaching the NC coast, and run parallel to the coast, but it would be so close to the coast, that the beaches would still feel impact, and we would likely have a direct hit anyway.

Thanks, Scott

for your response. Are you surprised compared to what you may have thought 2 or 3 days ago that this is headed to CONUS?

#4 Postby **ncweatherwizard** » Sat Sep 13, 2003 11:54 am

Not terribly surprised because it is such a close call. I'm glad that I did pick up on the forecasted northwestward and northward movement very early, so I had room to work things out. But you know, it's kind of like throwing a baseball from an outfield fence 400 feet away directly to the catcher while not throwing it outside of two buckets ten feet on either side of him. But still if I had made a 10 day forecast a few days ago, it would have verified within about 300 nautical miles so...

And if Isabel does make landfall, I'll be standing right in her path...

rob8303 · #5 Postby **rob8303** » Sat Sep 13, 2003 11:55 am

OMG! Stay safe.

Fish Dreams FINISHED?-Is this headed to CONUS?

Fish Dreams FINISHED?-Is this headed to CONUS?

Who is online