Isbel's track

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rainydaze
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Isbel's track

#1 Postby rainydaze » Sun Sep 14, 2003 2:30 pm

I remember some were talking about Isabel possibly stalling at some point. I haven't heard much about it today.
Is there still any thinking Isabel may stall at some point, or is that not probable anymore?

Thanks :)
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ColdFront77

#2 Postby ColdFront77 » Sun Sep 14, 2003 4:13 pm

Last I knew, this was the case and as I have been looking at data this afternoon... the steering current don't appear to be average to above average in the area Isabel is approaching.
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#3 Postby rainydaze » Sun Sep 14, 2003 7:19 pm

Anyone else care to share an opinion about Isabel and a possible stall?
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JetMaxx

#4 Postby JetMaxx » Sun Sep 14, 2003 8:16 pm

I think she's slowing now....which several models forecast once the hurricane was north of Hispanola....

Maybe the GFS solution of slowing to a crawl then an acceleration to the N then NNW is about to verify. If so, it increases the risk to points north of Cape Hatteras (Delmarva to Long Island).
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stormernie

#5 Postby stormernie » Sun Sep 14, 2003 8:18 pm

This hurricane is pumping heat into the High Pressure and as such is making a slight wobble to the west. No she is not heading west, but the WNW movement may be prolonged. I'm just afraid that the NHC in one their discussion may come out with a major track adjustment toward Florida/Georgia area.
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Josephine96

#6 Postby Josephine96 » Sun Sep 14, 2003 8:28 pm

Storm Ernie.. you'll be right if she keeps moving WNW for too much longer.. If she's not turned by around Noon tomorrow {my guess.. not an actual fact} I would say there could be trouble..

Just my humble opinion
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