Cape verde season may close more early

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 6:32 pm

After Fabian and Isabel that came out from the CV region as major hurricanes conditions are not favorable as a big trough is parked in the tropical atlantic.TD#14 formed near the cape verde islands but fizzeled out rapidly and after that waves had comed out but nothing has organized since Isabel left that region. Time is running out for that region to have formations and as climo dictates the action will switch to the GOm and the western caribbean and maybe the west atlantic,But about the CV season IMO we haved seen the last system with Isabel this season.Comments are welcomed about this.

GulfBreezer · #2 Postby **GulfBreezer** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 6:34 pm

Time to switch focus to GOM and Carribean huh?

Stormsfury · #3 Postby **Stormsfury** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 6:36 pm

Actually I won't be surprised to see something else TRY but if it's succeeds to develop, that I don't have to answer to. But my hunch and guess was right a couple of months ago about a blockbuster CV storm this year (I found an old post on WWBB that was bumped up a couple of days ago).

SF

#4 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 6:59 pm

Yes Sf maybe a wave may try to organize at a low latitud but time is running out for CV systems anyway however waves may organize more west around 50w as Jose did in 2000.

#5 Postby **abajan** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 7:03 pm

I don't think it's quite over yet. Early October may throw up an ugly surprise or two for the Antilles.

#6 Postby **JtSmarts** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 7:59 pm

I agree with abajan, I have a feeling that we may see one more CV storm crank up this October.

Aquawind · #7 Postby **Aquawind** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 8:19 pm

The ITCZ is definately on it's way down south and started 10 days ahead of schedule..Durring 1995 a busy year the ITCZ stayed north of it's current position well into September. So if the ITCZ position is in anyway a indicator of CV activity..things may be quiet to end the CV season..Certainly an opportunity or 2 will come around with the whacky season we have had this year.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/f ... /itcz.html

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atl ... index.html

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/fews/data.html

AussieMark · #8 Postby **AussieMark** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 2:29 am

Jose was 1999.

#9 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 6:18 am

Yes Jose was In 99 but the important thing is that I dont see things cranking up in the tropical atlantic as Isabel has left behind a big trough and dry air so unless conditions improve we can say that the CV season may be over for 2003.But as I haved stated still waves can form more to the west past 50w in october as Jose did in 99.

Steve H. · #10 Postby **Steve H.** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 6:34 am

AFter Isabel goes through/north, keep an eye on the western Caribbean as models are hinting at something brewing near Jamaica/south of Cuba this weekend. Also area near the Lesser Antilles may organize after the trough moves through. Isabel strengthening a bit, or at least getting better organized this morning in latest pix. Cheers!!

AussieMark · #11 Postby **AussieMark** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 9:47 am

Steve H. wrote:AFter Isabel goes through/north, keep an eye on the western Caribbean as models are hinting at something brewing near Jamaica/south of Cuba this weekend. Also area near the Lesser Antilles may organize after the trough moves through. Isabel strengthening a bit, or at least getting better organized this morning in latest pix. Cheers!!

Could this development be associated with the Tropical wave that is currently in a hostile environment in the Atantic.

#12 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 9:56 am

Yes shear is there and not favorable conditions at this time.

Cape verde season may close more early

Cape verde season may close more early

Maybe Not

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