Morning Forecast, weak cat 2 or 1 at landfall

Derek Ortt · #1 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 10:31 am

http://www.nwhhc.com/atlantic13fd.html

system does not look good, despite the 1mb pressure fall

JCT777 · #2 Postby **JCT777** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 10:41 am

Thanks for update Derek. IMO - I think the intensity might be a little lower initially, come up some, and then decrease to Cat 2 just prior to landfall.

Derek Ortt · #3 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 11:02 am

ssts ar epitifully cold near the coast

#4 Postby **Trader Ron** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 11:20 am

Derek,
I think the weakening of Isabel is a trend.I said 100-110 at landfall.I might be high.
We'll see.

Derek Ortt · #5 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 1:48 pm

at the rate we're going, we may not even get a cat 2 at landfall. There is a chance that this will be a cat 1 when it hits

PTrackerLA · #6 Postby **PTrackerLA** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 2:29 pm

When Isabel was still a cat. 5 I had forecasted only a cat. 2 at landfall, everyone said cat3/4 but looks like I will be right! She won't be any worse than Hurricane Lili but the news is acting like another Andrew is about to hit.

#7 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 2:30 pm

PTrackerLA you know how the media hypes things.

PTrackerLA · #8 Postby **PTrackerLA** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 2:37 pm

I know ceye, it is quite entertaining at times too :wink:

Morning Forecast, weak cat 2 or 1 at landfall

Morning Forecast, weak cat 2 or 1 at landfall

Isabel

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