TD 16 AT 5 P.M.? PRESSURE DOWN TO 1007 NOW........

#1 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Thu Sep 25, 2003 1:53 pm

for Invest 98 at 11 N 37.6 W and it sure is looking fine. QSCAT indicates to me that we have another TD on our hands by 5 p.m. or tonight at the latest. She looks better, in fact, than TD 15.

#2 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Thu Sep 25, 2003 2:07 pm

Here's the link: http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

#3 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Thu Sep 25, 2003 2:10 pm

Looking very good. We could have a TD16 either later tonight or early tomorrow morning.

#4 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Sep 25, 2003 2:11 pm

dixie that info is from the 12:00 run this morning that had it at 11.0n 30kts and 1007 mbs but the 18:00 one has to come very soon.

#5 Postby **wxman57** » Thu Sep 25, 2003 2:12 pm

I think TD 15/Juan looks quite a bit better organized, convection-wise than does the disturbance near 11N/37W. I see a clear LLC, but convection is still spotty. I think the NHC will wait until first light tomorrow to upgrade it (assuming that the convection doesn't fall apart overnight).

Aquawind · #6 Postby **Aquawind** » Thu Sep 25, 2003 2:12 pm

Looking better...it Will happen soon..This should be interesting.. 8-)

PuertoRicoLibre · #7 Postby **PuertoRicoLibre** » Thu Sep 25, 2003 2:12 pm

Does anybody have any information as to where the developing TD16 may be headed to?

#8 Postby **Lowpressure** » Thu Sep 25, 2003 2:54 pm

Looking better all the time. Looks somewhat like the same structure that Isabel had at this point, all be it further west.

#9 Postby **Dave C** » Thu Sep 25, 2003 3:43 pm

I love this board! oh ya, The 2pm TPC disc. says convection wrapping on west side of circ. around 11deg.n

ColdFront77 · #10 Postby **ColdFront77** » Thu Sep 25, 2003 7:29 pm

PuertoRicoLibre wrote:Does anybody have any information as to where the developing TD16 may be headed to?

This system isn't guaranteed to move northward, like Tropical Storm Juan is expected. Being at a lower latitude and not being sure that a trough will be able to pick up the system, means that it needs to be watched more than Juan.

TD 16 AT 5 P.M.? PRESSURE DOWN TO 1007 NOW........

TD 16 AT 5 P.M.? PRESSURE DOWN TO 1007 NOW........

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