Good evening everyone. Recon detected maximum flight level winds of 51 knots-59 mph. Minimum central pressure is 1006 mb. It's still a broad low pressure, which is attached to a frontal zone over the Bay Of Campeche. It's not purely tropical as of yet. But sometimes tropical systems can develop along the tail end of frontal zones and this one could potentially do that. Just north of the disturbance, winds in the upper levels are roaring from the southwest at 50-70 mph. A stronger trough moving southeast into the north Gulf will only enhance the winds up there. Plus the air is dry along the US Gulf coast from Texas over into the Florida Panhandle.
An indirect effect already being felt is the coastal flooding along the south Texas coast from Baffin Bay to the mouth of the Rio Grande River. A coastal flood warning is in effect as well as a small craft advisory and a heavy surf advisory. Persistent northeasterly winds of 20-30 knots has increased seas to 8-10 feet just off the Texas coastline. Some offshore data indicates seas in the 12-15 foot range. A choppy Gulf Of Mexico tonight for sure.
Earlier today, Park Police in Padre Island reported coastal flooding of the beaches at South Padre Island. The next high tide is at 10:25 PM tonight and is expected to be 2.1 feet above mean lower low water.
A coastal flood warning means that coastal flooding is immient or is already occuring or will occur within the next 12 hours. Significant coastal erosion and coastal flooding is expected on area beaches along the south Texas coast through Thursday. Persons along the south Texas coast are urged to take the neccessary precautions to safeguard life and property if you haven't done so.
Rip currents are also a dangers and could drown even the strongest swimmer. Do not attempt to get out into the Gulf Of Mexico until winds and seas subside along the south Texas coast. It's very dangerous and could cause lost of life. We don't want to lose life here.
More updates on this coastal flood situation and the tropical distubance in the Bay Of Campeche as I get it.
Jim
tropical and marine weather Statement for GOM and BOC..
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: cajungal, Google Adsense [Bot], islandgirl45, MississippiWx, StormWeather and 51 guests