LOOKS LIKE NICK IS TRYING TO BAND........

#1 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Wed Oct 15, 2003 4:15 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg

ChaserUK · #2 Postby **ChaserUK** » Wed Oct 15, 2003 5:05 pm

your right, bands for sure. Outflow too. Hurricane within 12 hours or so IMO

stu · #3 Postby **stu** » Wed Oct 15, 2003 5:23 pm

Imm I am not so sure.. look at the VW loop. The over all convection decreases and I wonder if the band is just outflow...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

ChaserUK · #4 Postby **ChaserUK** » Wed Oct 15, 2003 5:31 pm

unsure - convection seems to start increasing at the end of the loop again?

stu · #5 Postby **stu** » Wed Oct 15, 2003 5:38 pm

Matt - I think that is outflow on the SW side - but something tells me that it is just too BIG to be outflow - now I am unsure

However, Nick does seem to be winding up again from the last 2 frames - but he was not looking too great in the 5- 8th frame of the loop and then that outflow / band feature forms...

#6 Postby **wxman57** » Wed Oct 15, 2003 6:39 pm

You're assuming that the center is beneath the convection, which visible imagery indicated otherwise. The center has been exposed to the west of that convective mass all day. If anything, it looks weaker than this morning. Just a few hours ago, it put out another outflow boundary. I think it's barely hanging on to TS strength now. Certainly no hurricane tomorrow and maybe not Friday or Saturday.

Rainband · #7 Postby **Rainband** » Wed Oct 15, 2003 7:25 pm

wxman57 wrote:You're assuming that the center is beneath the convection, which visible imagery indicated otherwise. The center has been exposed to the west of that convective mass all day. If anything, it looks weaker than this morning. Just a few hours ago, it put out another outflow boundary. I think it's barely hanging on to TS strength now. Certainly no hurricane tomorrow and maybe not Friday or Saturday.

I agree it looks like it's struggling. BTW wxman57 your signature is running out of time . I think Florida will remain lucky until next year!!

#8 Postby **wxman57** » Wed Oct 15, 2003 7:46 pm

Rainband wrote: I agree it looks like it's struggling. BTW wxman57 your signature is running out of time I think Florida will remain lucky until next year!!

I'm with JB on the likely west Caribbean development in the next few weeks. You're not out of the woods yet. :wink:

Rainband · #9 Postby **Rainband** » Wed Oct 15, 2003 7:50 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Rainband wrote: I agree it looks like it's struggling. BTW wxman57 your signature is running out of time I think Florida will remain lucky until next year!!

I'm with JB on the likely west Caribbean development in the next few weeks. You're not out of the woods yet.

Really. Can you explain to me what factors are in place or will be to make this occur?? Thanks. I am still learning and every little bit helps!! I appreciate it :wink:

LOOKS LIKE NICK IS TRYING TO BAND........

LOOKS LIKE NICK IS TRYING TO BAND........

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