ITCZ moving very slow to the south inside africa

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cycloneye
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ITCZ moving very slow to the south inside africa

#1 Postby cycloneye » Fri Oct 17, 2003 7:32 pm

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/f ... /itcz.html

Maybe this explains why the CV season is still going because the more north the ITCZ is the more favorable conditions are as it is far from the equator.It has moved southward very slowly and normally by mid october it would be more south than where the axis is now.
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#2 Postby Valkhorn » Fri Oct 17, 2003 7:39 pm

Perhaps, it probably is a climatological fluke for this season. We did start in April, so perhaps it is fated that we will end later than usual?
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Rainband

#3 Postby Rainband » Fri Oct 17, 2003 7:49 pm

Valkhorn wrote:Perhaps, it probably is a climatological fluke for this season. We did start in April, so perhaps it is fated that we will end later than usual?
actually if we started early it would make sense..in this ODD season that we would end later??? :roll: wouldn't it :wink:
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#4 Postby Stormsfury » Fri Oct 17, 2003 8:24 pm

A westerly wind burst south of 10ºN was clearly evident on visible imagery a few days ago when Nicklaus was just really beginning to take shape. The MJO has been slightly negative to about neutral, not once really going very dry.

And yes, the ITCZ, has been a bit further north than usual. Part of this can also be attributed to the continued African wave train that hasn't ceased to amaze me this season.

Just imagine this kind of wave train with a La Niña season.

SF
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