Here an abstract from this morning AFD in San Juan Office, Could we have another Lenny?
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
355 AM AST TUE OCT 21 2003
MODELS DEVELOP A TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN ON LATE WEDNESDAY TO MOVE QUICKLY NORTHEAST ACROSS
HISPANOLA ON THURSDAY AND INTO THE ATLANTIC BY FRIDAY. GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS THAT THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WILL PRODUCE A SOUTHEAST
WIND FLOW ACROSS THE FA STARTING LATE TONIGHT CONTINUING ON
WEDNESDAY...AND BECOMING LIGHT FROM THE SOUTH SOUTHEAST ON THURSDAY
AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHEAST INTO THE ATLANTIC. IF THIS SCENARIO
MATERIALIZE...THEN THE AREAS OF DIURNAL CONVECTION WILL FOCUS ACROSS
THE NORTHERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE.
:o
Look more to the Central Caribbean...San Juan AFD
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