11N X 51W?

Tip · #1 Postby **Tip** » Fri Oct 31, 2003 8:35 am

I know it's way past climateology for anything to develope there, but with the shear decreasing rapidly and the western Atlantic ridge building to unseasonal strength, it may be something to watch.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html

Josephine96 · #2 Postby **Josephine96** » Fri Oct 31, 2003 8:38 am

You may be right Tip.. plus this has been 1 heck of a season. It wouldn't surprise me to see something develop over there.

Stormsfury · #3 Postby **Stormsfury** » Fri Oct 31, 2003 8:42 am

I was getting ready to post about the ITCZ flaring up myself. Welcome the NEG MJO.

http://orbit-net.nesdis.noaa.gov/goes/a ... loope.html

Josephine96 · #4 Postby **Josephine96** » Fri Oct 31, 2003 8:44 am

I guess a lot of us are on the same page this morning Storms Fury lol

Steve H. · #5 Postby **Steve H.** » Fri Oct 31, 2003 10:03 am

Anyone know the JB take this morning :?:

Right now looks like an 8 - 10 day window for stuff :wink:

Stormsfury · #6 Postby **Stormsfury** » Fri Oct 31, 2003 12:21 pm

Steve H. wrote:Anyone know the JB take this morning Right now looks like an 8 - 10 day window for stuff

Don't know, Steve H. I don't get any information from JB (except what's posted on the boards) but the CMC Ensemles members just might be picking up on this area ... getting ready to review the models again as soon as the 12z runs come out.

That area is beginning to look quite healthy for a disturbance this far out (though it still has westerly wind shear to contend with in it's future with the TUTT low in the Eastern Caribbean)...more in-depth detail later...

GFS progged 300mb-850mb Wind shear for 48 hours starting with initialization.

http://www.stormsfury1.com/Temp/TempLoops/GFSshear.html

11N X 51W?

11N X 51W?

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