Time to take this seriously

Derek Ortt · #1 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 6:14 pm

Looks like we have a developing STS or TS moving toward Florida now. Do not forsee a hurricane unless the convection wraps much better than it is, though a moderate to strong TS is not completely out of the question. Just monitor the situation if you are in Florida, but this is not a panick event

http://www.nwhhc.com/tds.html

chadtm80 · #2 Postby **chadtm80** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 6:16 pm

Good Discusion Ortt.. Trust me.. I will be keeping an eye on it

Anonymous · #3 Postby **Anonymous** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 6:16 pm

Compared to Lili, Isabel, Floyd, or Keith..... NO PANIC EVENT. :wink:

ColdFront77 · #4 Postby **ColdFront77** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 6:18 pm

chadtm80 wrote:Good Discusion Ortt.. Trust me.. I will be keeping an eye on it

Same here.

Rainband · #5 Postby **Rainband** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 6:18 pm

Thanks derek :wink:

#6 Postby **Vortex** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 6:21 pm

I agree completely with you....this may catch many in fl offguard. Convection is now deepening right over the center. Should this continue obviously then by the time it reaches florida it will be tropical. Lets hope it it doesnt sustain this deep convection through tommorrom night or a minimal hurricane is not out of the question. Currently the transition is taking place and the overnight hours will be pivitol...

Rainband · #7 Postby **Rainband** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 6:25 pm

Vortex wrote:I agree completely with you....this may catch many in fl offguard. Convection is now deepening right over the center. Should this continue obviously then by the time it reaches florida it will be tropical. Lets hope it it doesnt sustain this deep convection through tommorrom night or a minimal hurricane is not out of the question. Currently the transition is taking place and the overnight hours will be pivitol...

Thanks for your input vortex :wink:

Derek Ortt · #8 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 6:26 pm

Now that I have ran my mouth indicating no hurricane, watch this become a cat 2. I am assuming that this will not be the traditional late season intensification that often occurrs, as was the case with Olga due to more unfavorable atmospheric conditions

Josephine96 · #9 Postby **Josephine96** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 6:27 pm

Good advice.. I think Florida's last november storm was... Guess who.. Josephine in 1996 lol

Florida may indeed get it's 3rd landfalling storm of the year.

Lets wait and see if Nicholas/Odette develops like it appears to be doing.

Perhaps the NHC will regret not sending the plane out

lol

Rainband · #10 Postby **Rainband** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 6:28 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:Now that I have ran my mouth indicating no hurricane, watch this become a cat 2. I am assuming that this will not be the traditional late season intensification that often occurrs, as was the case with Olga due to more unfavorable atmospheric conditions

Don't say that :eek:

Mother nature is unpredictable..so if it does...we won't hold it against you :wink:

Derek Ortt · #11 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 6:45 pm

Josephine was an early October storm.

Florida's last Nov storm was Mitch in 1998

Josephine96 · #12 Postby **Josephine96** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 6:50 pm

Thank you for the correction Derek.. You're right.. I forgot. Please excuse my tropical ignorance..

We still need to be very careful..

Anonymous · #13 Postby **Anonymous** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 7:25 pm

Mitch was a shadow of his former self.

chadtm80 · #14 Postby **chadtm80** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 7:26 pm

this may catch many in fl offguard

With out a DOUBT.. Im here in east central Florida and there has been no talk on local stations about a posability for developement

Josephine96 · #15 Postby **Josephine96** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 7:27 pm

That;s right ChaD.. I just watched both Channel 6 and 9 and they both think it will remain just "remnants".

Potential dangerous situation setting up..

ColdFront77 · #16 Postby **ColdFront77** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 7:29 pm

They would probably mention more about the system in the Orlando viewing area if this were a weekday. Unfortunate circumstances.

No matter what this system does, it is still there and should be mentioned for viewers to take into consideration.

Stormsfury · #17 Postby **Stormsfury** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 7:40 pm

Josephine96 wrote:That;s right ChaD.. I just watched both Channel 6 and 9 and they both think it will remain just "remnants".

Potential dangerous situation setting up..

I wouldn't call it a potentially dangerous situation ... But very noteworthy that it needs to be conveyed to the public to expect some stormy weather ahead ...

SF

ColdFront77 · #18 Postby **ColdFront77** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 7:42 pm

As has been mentioned, and rightly so. Some systems like this become truly tropical and make landfall, catching people off guard when not brought to their attention beforehand.

#19 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 7:46 pm

It seems as though local forecasters have been lulled by the calendar.

Stormsfury · #20 Postby **Stormsfury** » Sat Nov 01, 2003 7:48 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:It seems as though local forecasters have been lulled by the calendar.

Or actually most of the lead TV mets are off for the weekend ...

SF

Time to take this seriously

Time to take this seriously

Compared to....

derek

Re: derek

Mitch...

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