http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrir.html
Look much more ominous than the Invest near the Bahamas.
ANOTHER PERSPECTIVE OF THE CARIBBEAN ACTION......
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dixiebreeze
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vbhoutex
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OK, call me crazy or whatever. I just ran that loop and it appears to me that the low(former Nicholas) is opening up and the convection is decreasing as it approaches Florida.
Looks like the Carribean mess is going to give PR and the VI a good soaking and maybe a little wind mixed in over the next 24-48 hrs. Nothing much seen past that though. Comments welcome.
Looks like the Carribean mess is going to give PR and the VI a good soaking and maybe a little wind mixed in over the next 24-48 hrs. Nothing much seen past that though. Comments welcome.
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Rainband
CURRENTLY...MASS OF CONVECTION OUT AHEAD OF SURFACE LOW MOVING
QUICKLY TOWARDS THE FL EAST COAST. OTHERWISE ANOTHER DAY WITH A
NICE CU FIELD PUSHING IN FROM THE NE. SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FIELD BEGINNING TO AFFECT THE NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL COUNTIES IN THE FA.
.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT-TUE)...CONVECTIVE MASS SHOULD MOVE ASHORE
TONIGHT. MODELS NOT SHOWING TOO MUCH LIFT TONIGHT...BUT STILL
BELIEVE WILL GET SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT IN OUR
AREA. MORE LIFT TOMORROW AFTERNOON...THOUGH LIMITED SOLAR HEATING
SHOULD PREVENT WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS. SURFACE LOW SHOULD PASS
JUST ALONG THE SOUTHERN PARTS OF FA DURING THE DAY MONDAY. WINDS
IN THAT AREA ARE TRICKY TO FORECAST...BUT HAVE THEM SHIFTING AROUND
DURING THE DAY TO BECOME SE BY NIGHT.
ON TUE EXPECT ENOUGH MOISTURE LEFT BEHIND AND ENOUGH HEATING FROM
THE BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS TO SPARK OFF SOME TSTMS.
.LONG TERM (TUE NIGHT-SUN)...EARLY IN THE PERIOD MAIN FOCUS WILL BE
ON DEEP SLUG OF MOISTURE NOW OVER THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN. AS
UPPER LOW SLOWS IT WESTWARD MOVEMENT AND STARTS TO STRETCH OUT IN
THE CENTRAL GOMEX...THE UPPER FLOW WILL BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY...
ALLOWING THE MOISTURE TO MOVE NORTH INTO FLORIDA. COULD BE SOME
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WEDNESDAY IF THE SYSTEM MOVES RIGHT UP INTO US...
BUT TOO FAR OUT TO BE SPECIFIC YET. I DID RAISE POPS TO 50 PERCENT
OVER THE SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY.
QUICKLY TOWARDS THE FL EAST COAST. OTHERWISE ANOTHER DAY WITH A
NICE CU FIELD PUSHING IN FROM THE NE. SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FIELD BEGINNING TO AFFECT THE NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL COUNTIES IN THE FA.
.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT-TUE)...CONVECTIVE MASS SHOULD MOVE ASHORE
TONIGHT. MODELS NOT SHOWING TOO MUCH LIFT TONIGHT...BUT STILL
BELIEVE WILL GET SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT IN OUR
AREA. MORE LIFT TOMORROW AFTERNOON...THOUGH LIMITED SOLAR HEATING
SHOULD PREVENT WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS. SURFACE LOW SHOULD PASS
JUST ALONG THE SOUTHERN PARTS OF FA DURING THE DAY MONDAY. WINDS
IN THAT AREA ARE TRICKY TO FORECAST...BUT HAVE THEM SHIFTING AROUND
DURING THE DAY TO BECOME SE BY NIGHT.
ON TUE EXPECT ENOUGH MOISTURE LEFT BEHIND AND ENOUGH HEATING FROM
THE BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS TO SPARK OFF SOME TSTMS.
.LONG TERM (TUE NIGHT-SUN)...EARLY IN THE PERIOD MAIN FOCUS WILL BE
ON DEEP SLUG OF MOISTURE NOW OVER THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN. AS
UPPER LOW SLOWS IT WESTWARD MOVEMENT AND STARTS TO STRETCH OUT IN
THE CENTRAL GOMEX...THE UPPER FLOW WILL BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY...
ALLOWING THE MOISTURE TO MOVE NORTH INTO FLORIDA. COULD BE SOME
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WEDNESDAY IF THE SYSTEM MOVES RIGHT UP INTO US...
BUT TOO FAR OUT TO BE SPECIFIC YET. I DID RAISE POPS TO 50 PERCENT
OVER THE SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY.
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ColdFront77