Vortex data message=38 kts NE Quad 1008 mbs

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cycloneye
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Vortex data message=38 kts NE Quad 1008 mbs

#1 Postby cycloneye » Tue Nov 04, 2003 1:13 pm

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPNT2.shtml?

Brisk winds found there but the mission is still on so let's see what else they find however the low center continues to be exposed and the window to develop is closing bigtime.
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#2 Postby wxman57 » Tue Nov 04, 2003 1:31 pm

If anything, the circulation is not as strong as yesterday. But there are a few squalls 90 miles southeast of the center. I don't think the NHC would do anyone a service by calling this a TD at this point. It'll be inland this evening, producing maybe 20-25 mph wind on the coast and possibly a couple inches of rain in those thunderstorms.

Also, Dvorak classification is still "Too Weak" to classify.
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Tue Nov 04, 2003 1:35 pm

Agree 57 and if this low where in the middle of the GOM with the same enviromental conditions not where it is now it would have a slim chance as it would have more water to work with.
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ColdFront77

#4 Postby ColdFront77 » Tue Nov 04, 2003 8:09 pm

There are multiple lows south of the main one, the one we are watching that is currently just off the Louisiana coast.

One of the more obvious low centers is off the Yucatan peninsula.

Perhaps one of these lows may still develop.

The whole area of storminess eventually moves northeastward toward the Florida coast. --....... Dr. Steve Lyons mentioned this at 7:50pm Eastern.
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