Any thoughts on the areas.....
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- Windtalker
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 118
- Joined: Wed Oct 15, 2003 7:02 pm
- Location: Hollywood, Florida
Any thoughts on the areas.....
13N & 82W I think has some circulation & 9N & 45W also with some circulation....Thanks http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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- wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met
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- Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
- Location: Houston, TX (southwest)
First of all, the only way to detect any circulation with weak disturbances is via a combination of high-res visible satellite imagery and surface observations. QuickSCAT winds can also be used, but they could be over a day old. Nightime IR imagery is not what you want to look at, as you're looking at the cold, high tops of thunderstorms, not the low clouds near the ocean surface.
That said, I just opened up GARP and plotted reports around the Caribbean disturbance. I don't see any signs of a circulation. However, this region is the prime area to look for any possible late-season tropical developmenet. As for this system, mid-level steering winds are driving this disturbance inland into Nicaragua and Honduras, so development is unlikely.
The system near 45W is encountering very high wind shear. There is no evidence of a circulation.
That said, I just opened up GARP and plotted reports around the Caribbean disturbance. I don't see any signs of a circulation. However, this region is the prime area to look for any possible late-season tropical developmenet. As for this system, mid-level steering winds are driving this disturbance inland into Nicaragua and Honduras, so development is unlikely.
The system near 45W is encountering very high wind shear. There is no evidence of a circulation.
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