http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead/ENSO-summary.shtml
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/index.shtml
No big changes from the models in this update for december but a few more of them go warm by mid 2004.But all this input from the models has to be looked at with caution because many changes may come in the next few months at the equatorial pacific that can make the ENSO factor more important or not for a slow atlantic hurricane season or viceversa.Also it depends on how the SOI is doing in the next months to have a weak el nino,continued neutral conditions or la nina may appear so we have to wait for new data to be more clear about what kind of ENSO will be next summer.
Neutral ENSO is what the december update of the models say
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Neutral ENSO is what the december update of the models say
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