Boy Miami NWS really missed the boat today by leaning on the GFS guidance and phoning in the forecast. With 2 sets of strong shortwave troughs rotating into the gulf...and significant forcing all around...they pretty much wrote off precips south of the lake for tonight. With a MCS so close to the state I'm not sure how this happened but by 5PM they put out an AFD update and upped POPS considerably including strong wording in the public forecast.
Now...this just in..a very strong cell is showing rotation just west of the KEYS and a tornado warning is up for Monroe county.
Figures this would happen on a holiday. Looks like a couple of days worth of severe...but non-tropical weather in the southeast.
Check out the MIA radar if you read this in the next hour or so...pretty impressive:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/latest/DS ... kamx.shtml
MW
Easter Shift Messes Up at Miami NWS
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