Tropical disturbance forms in the Eastern Pacific!!!!

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Matthew5

Tropical disturbance forms in the Eastern Pacific!!!!

#1 Postby Matthew5 » Sun May 16, 2004 8:09 am

Tropical low forms in the Eastern Pacific just as the hurricane season begains...

The IR satellite shows a low at around 8 north/83 west moving west.

Here is a pic of it.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EPAC/IR4/20.jpg

Loop
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Here is a visible loop of a developing tropical low/distrabance.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

The surface map shows a low.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb/TSA_06Z.gif

There is a area of light/decreasing wind shear centered over the tropical distrabance. Which means that area is favable in terms of winds at all levels being about the same. In favable enough for tropical cyclone development over the next few days. The wind shear over this is 5 to 10 mph.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... wg8shr.GIF

The ukmet develops this into a tropical cyclone
http://bricker.met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/ukm ... =Animation
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rainstorm

#2 Postby rainstorm » Sun May 16, 2004 8:16 am

thanks for the info, matthew. it looks like a good candidate fot a depression
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Anonymous

#3 Postby Anonymous » Sun May 16, 2004 12:11 pm

Indeed.
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#4 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun May 16, 2004 12:18 pm

It does have a chance, at least we have something to watch! :eek:
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Rainband

#5 Postby Rainband » Sun May 16, 2004 12:47 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:It does have a chance, at least we have something to watch! :eek:
Exactly!! :)
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#6 Postby Brent » Mon May 17, 2004 8:16 am

Dean4Storms wrote:It does have a chance, at least we have something to watch! :eek:


:D
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#7 Postby wx247 » Mon May 17, 2004 8:29 am

Shear has definitely been decreasing in the EPAC, that is for sure (south of around 10º N).
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