94L Wave trying to survive with popcorn thunderstorms...

[The Cape Cod Storm]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
That dry air is really making it fight for it's life. There is still quite a bit of dry air in the Central Caribbean/GOM area. It appears that the remains of 93L are forcing it's way south, so that should take care of some of the dry air for our wave. It will be interesting to watch.

[cycloneye]

Welcome to storm2k and enjoy it here.

[*StOrmsPr*]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-wv-loop.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
That dry air is really making it fight for it's life. There is still quite a bit of dry air in the Central Caribbean/GOM area. It appears that the remains of 93L are forcing it's way south, so that should take care of some of the dry air for our wave. It will be interesting to watch.

dont see that much dry air around 94l
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT/WV/20.jpg

as fot the dry air of central carib:
http://orbit-net.nesdis.noaa.gov/arad/f ... ATLCWV.GIF

the TW(94L) is moving WNW so it will likely move closer or over PR and DR.

the only problem i see is shear and it have been decreassing the las 24 hrs. though still not good for Tropical Dev.

[HURAKAN]

Welcome to the forum, and let see what happens.

[Thunder44]

Looking at some of the latest satellite images, it does look it becoming better organzied. A little less sheared out, and some outflow developing on it south and East sides. Also a more circular and t-storms are big more concentrated in the center than earlier today. The shear may have relaxed a bit for a time being but it looks it heading towards an area of more shear.

[Thunder44]

Seems the NHC sees it better organzied too but..

Tropical Weather Outlook

Statement as of 5:30 PM EDT on June 15, 2004



for the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...
A vigorous tropical wave approaching the Lesser Antilles is expected
to bring heavy squalls primarily over the Windward Islands tonight
and Wednesday. Although shower activity has increased during the
day...and satellite images suggest that the system is a little
better organized...upper-level winds appear to be unfavorable for
significant development.
Elsewhere...tropical storm formation is not expected through
Wednesday.
Forecaster Avila
$$

.

[HURAKAN]

The system against all odds continues to get better organized. Sweet!!!

[The Cape Cod Storm]

I guess your right, it has gone against almost all odds.