GFS down the road

YouTube · #1 Postby **hurricanetrack** » Mon Jun 28, 2004 4:46 pm

The GFS (from the 12Z run) showed a clear closed low moving off Africa and then out into the Atlantic. It is doubtful that this will actually happen as the GFS showed- but it is very cool none-the-less to see such things "spin" up now on the model. Sooner or later, they'll be for real. Can't wait.

:-)

#2 Postby **george_r_1961** » Mon Jun 28, 2004 6:36 pm

With the SST's the way they are i wouldnt be shocked to see development out there in the next 7-10 days.

Guest · #3 Postby **Guest** » Mon Jun 28, 2004 6:50 pm

Actually, the GFS could be responding to a strong wave plus a 500mb high west of the wave. This would eleviate shear, and allow for some development if it holds in place.
Which GFS are you looking at?

Anonymous · #4 Postby **Anonymous** » Mon Jun 28, 2004 6:59 pm

Yeah, we are now entering July. Things can happen:
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atl ... rack_s.gif

Anonymous · #5 Postby **Anonymous** » Mon Jun 28, 2004 7:10 pm

BarometerBob wrote:Actually, the GFS could be responding to a strong wave plus a 500mb high west of the wave. This would eleviate shear, and allow for some development if it holds in place.
Which GFS are you looking at?

Yeah--I wonder the same--only model I can find for that section of the world is from the Navy site and goes through 12z July 4th---Looks like a wave comes off africa around that time.

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/CGI/PUBLIC/w ... 2004062812

ColdFront77 · #6 Postby **ColdFront77** » Mon Jun 28, 2004 7:12 pm

ColdFront77 · #7 Postby **ColdFront77** » Mon Jun 28, 2004 7:15 pm

BarometerBob wrote:Actually, the GFS could be responding to a strong wave plus a 500mb high west of the wave. This would eleviate shear, and allow for some development if it holds in place.
Which GFS are you looking at?

Jekyhe32210 wrote:Yeah--I wonder the same--only model I can find for that section of the world is from the Navy site and goes through 12z July 4th---Looks like a wave comes off africa around that time.

Dr. Steve Lyons (at 7:50 PM EDT) said nothing is "down the road," after mentioning that the beatiful condition across the Leeward Islands.

I thought he should of mentioned it. It doesn't matter that "it is only June."

#8 Postby **Andrew92** » Mon Jun 28, 2004 9:17 pm

Just as long as we get nothing as annoying as Claudette again though! I just about lost all my hair trying to figure that storm out!

-Andrew92

GFS down the road

GFS down the road

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