Tropical System?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Thunder44
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5922
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: New York City

Tropical System?

#1 Postby Thunder44 » Thu Jul 15, 2004 6:47 am

Hey, the Euro model has been showing a storm developing off the off the Mid-Atlantic Coast for the last two runs...
http://meteocentre.com/models/ecmwf_ame ... 9panel.gif

Some of the other models like the Canadian, and Ukmet seem to show this now too.
http://bricker.met.psu.edu/tropical/tcgengifs/

Do you all think this maybe a nor'easter or tropical storm developing?
0 likes   
Top
rbaker

ts off of mid atlantic

#2 Postby rbaker » Thu Jul 15, 2004 8:35 am

I don't see it except for the current low over ne which is the part of the trough we have now coming down here over n fla.
Looks like dominant feature is huge Bermuda High. :?:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
The Dark Knight
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 800
Joined: Fri Jun 18, 2004 11:18 am
Location: Mashpee, Cape Cod, MA
Contact:
Contact The Dark Knight

#3 Postby The Dark Knight » Thu Jul 15, 2004 10:44 am

I agree........
0 likes   
Top
Stormchaser16
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1013
Joined: Thu Aug 21, 2003 10:25 pm
Location: NW Jersey
Contact:
Contact Stormchaser16

#4 Postby Stormchaser16 » Thu Jul 15, 2004 10:53 am

Aye, no tropical system, but some sort of coastal Low indeed..... Would be a nasty rainmaker for the Midatlantic and Northeast if it were to play according to the ECMWF and UKMET solutions.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Stormsfury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10549
Age: 53
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
Location: Summerville, SC

#5 Postby Stormsfury » Thu Jul 15, 2004 11:21 am

Stormchaser16 wrote:Aye, no tropical system, but some sort of coastal Low indeed..... Would be a nasty rainmaker for the Midatlantic and Northeast if it were to play according to the ECMWF and UKMET solutions.


Definitely agreed here ... like the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast need anymore rain after the last system dumped as much as 12" of rain in Lumberton, NJ.

SF
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#6 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jul 15, 2004 3:36 pm

Maybe I need glasses but I don't see anything.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
bahamaswx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1545
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2003 1:11 am
Location: Georgetown, Bahamas

#7 Postby bahamaswx » Thu Jul 15, 2004 4:23 pm

Hurakan: 1000mb off the Virginia coast by the 19th, then moves up the east coast.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
The Dark Knight
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 800
Joined: Fri Jun 18, 2004 11:18 am
Location: Mashpee, Cape Cod, MA
Contact:
Contact The Dark Knight

#8 Postby The Dark Knight » Thu Jul 15, 2004 4:25 pm

Maybe just a really big nor' easter..........
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#9 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jul 15, 2004 4:27 pm

It looks to close to land for any to develop, also it appears over water in one model and then over land in the other. I don't see any clear sign that something has a real possibility for development.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
bahamaswx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1545
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2003 1:11 am
Location: Georgetown, Bahamas

#10 Postby bahamaswx » Thu Jul 15, 2004 4:39 pm

Of course not. But then.. it's not tropical. :)
0 likes   
Top
Stormchaser16
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1013
Joined: Thu Aug 21, 2003 10:25 pm
Location: NW Jersey
Contact:
Contact Stormchaser16

#11 Postby Stormchaser16 » Thu Jul 15, 2004 4:39 pm

Hurakan no one is talking about tropical development with this one....

HOWEVER JB and other mets have mentioned that this feature may bring more heavy rain to the N. Midatlantic and the Northeast (coastal low)....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
USAwx1
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 936
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2004 5:57 pm
Location: Marineland, FL

#12 Postby USAwx1 » Thu Jul 15, 2004 4:44 pm

Stormchaser16 wrote:Hurakan no one is talking about tropical development with this one....

HOWEVER JB and other mets have mentioned that this feature may bring more heavy rain to the N. Midatlantic and the Northeast (coastal low)....


EXACTLY!

This is just a mid-latitude low pressure system which may take on some Nor'easter like characteristics. Quite Unusual for this time of year.
0 likes   
Top
Stormchaser16
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1013
Joined: Thu Aug 21, 2003 10:25 pm
Location: NW Jersey
Contact:
Contact Stormchaser16

#13 Postby Stormchaser16 » Thu Jul 15, 2004 4:52 pm

This is kind of making me think real hard...
Anyone else can chime in on this...
With the way this summer has been going (cool + wet) it kind of makes me wonder what winter will be like. We have already had cold fronts dropping abnormaly far south, strong amplification in the pattern, -NAO signals at times, and now coastal possibilities? Interesting.........
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
george_r_1961
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3171
Age: 64
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 9:14 pm
Location: Carbondale, Pennsylvania

#14 Postby george_r_1961 » Thu Jul 15, 2004 11:10 pm

Every few years we get a non tropical coastal low here on the EC. You gotta watch these they can evolve into to TC. It is rare though
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 54 guests