About our wave

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Derek Ortt

About our wave

#1 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Jul 19, 2004 4:58 pm

1. It's just a wave, no surface center yet

2. No recon tomorrow. This is key. This indicates development, while possible, is not expected. If it were expected, you can bet there would be an invest mission, along wiht 6 hourly fixes on the POD

3. May impact with S America

4. It's entraining the SAL based upon morning SSMI

We may see a TD (still believe this would be TD 2 if it forms, 01L Noname as been used for the purposes of running models with the Brazil cane back in March), though the morning SHIPS runs will not come true. This has about a 0 percent chanc of being a cat 2 in the C Carib by Sat
0 likes   

User avatar
The Dark Knight
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 800
Joined: Fri Jun 18, 2004 11:18 am
Location: Mashpee, Cape Cod, MA
Contact:

#2 Postby The Dark Knight » Mon Jul 19, 2004 5:15 pm

True.... The recon is the key.....
0 likes   

User avatar
FWBHurricane
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 495
Joined: Fri Apr 02, 2004 10:57 pm
Location: Midlothian/Ovilla, Texas
Contact:

#3 Postby FWBHurricane » Tue Jul 20, 2004 1:04 am

Its possilbe it might impact South America but right now its moving in a WNW motion the last time i looked...it barely clipped Venezuela.
0 likes   

kevin

#4 Postby kevin » Tue Jul 20, 2004 7:14 am

Looking good this morning at first glance.
0 likes   

User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:

Re: About our wave

#5 Postby senorpepr » Tue Jul 20, 2004 9:00 am

Derek Ortt wrote:1. It's just a wave, no surface center yet

2. No recon tomorrow. This is key. This indicates development, while possible, is not expected. If it were expected, you can bet there would be an invest mission, along wiht 6 hourly fixes on the POD

3. May impact with S America

4. It's entraining the SAL based upon morning SSMI

We may see a TD (still believe this would be TD 2 if it forms, 01L Noname as been used for the purposes of running models with the Brazil cane back in March), though the morning SHIPS runs will not come true. This has about a 0 percent chanc of being a cat 2 in the C Carib by Sat


Well said.
0 likes   

User avatar
yoda
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7874
Joined: Tue Jan 13, 2004 3:51 pm
Location: Springfield VA (20 mins south of DC)
Contact:

#6 Postby yoda » Tue Jul 20, 2004 9:02 am

LOL!! It would be funny (well, ok maybe not...) if the ships model were right.. a CAT 2? Hey Derek, can you tell me where u found out that info about the ships models? Thanks!
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot] and 121 guests