AccuWeather's Tropical Discussion Mentions a Good "LLC&

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HURAKAN
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AccuWeather's Tropical Discussion Mentions a Good "LLC&

#1 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jul 19, 2004 10:26 pm

Today's Discussion
POSTED: July 19, 2004 10:50 p.m.


A strong tropical wave is located near 57 west, and some thunderstorms ahead of the wave are moving into the Windward islands of the Caribbean. This wave has a good low-level circulation, and will be watched closely for further development over the next couple of days as it moves through the Caribbean Sea. There is a chance that this system will become the first Atlantic tropical depression of season sometime Tuesday or Wednesday as it heads toward the west or northwest over the Caribbean.

They may be wrong by a few thousand feets. :lol:

Image
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Josephine96

#2 Postby Josephine96 » Mon Jul 19, 2004 10:30 pm

I do still think it could become our seasons' 1st TD.. It just needs to SLOW DOWN!
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#3 Postby george_r_1961 » Mon Jul 19, 2004 10:45 pm

It has a little less than a 50/50 chance IMO
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Anonymous

#4 Postby Anonymous » Mon Jul 19, 2004 11:35 pm

It still has some potential down the road...but there is no LLC.
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#5 Postby Wnghs2007 » Mon Jul 19, 2004 11:43 pm

Oppppss. LOL. Someone made a mishap. Oh well I still give it a 60% chance of development!!!!!!:D


YAY!!!!!!THIS IS MY 18,000th Post :D :multi: :multi: :jump: :jump: :jump: :D
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#6 Postby whereverwx » Mon Jul 19, 2004 11:53 pm

Wnghs2007 wrote:Oppppss. LOL. Someone made a mishap. Oh well I still give it a 60% chance of development!!!!!!:D


YAY!!!!!!THIS IS MY 18,000th Post :D :multi: :multi: :jump: :jump: :jump: :D

congrats! :D
and i think it will either be a strong tropical depression or a weak tropical storm
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Josephine96

#7 Postby Josephine96 » Mon Jul 19, 2004 11:59 pm

I also think it could become a TS.. if it slows down and develops some.. The question is.. where would it go after that
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#8 Postby The Dark Knight » Tue Jul 20, 2004 6:29 am

Yes, where would it go after that?????.......
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Opal storm

Re: AccuWeather's Tropical Discussion Mentions a Good "

#9 Postby Opal storm » Tue Jul 20, 2004 10:15 am

HURAKAN wrote:

There is a chance that this system will become the first Atlantic tropical depression of season




Wanna guess how many times this season they've said that,yet nothing has formed :lol:
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Re: AccuWeather's Tropical Discussion Mentions a Good "

#10 Postby jlauderdal » Tue Jul 20, 2004 10:17 am

Opal storm wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:

There is a chance that this system will become the first Atlantic tropical depression of season




Wanna guess how many times this season they've said that,yet nothing has formed :lol:


30% chance of a depression, 10% of a TS. Wait till after August 1st for hurricane season to start. Finally busted the drought in Sofla.
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#11 Postby Aquawind » Tue Jul 20, 2004 10:39 am

This wave has a good low-level circulation

Accuhype.. :P sorry I had to..
Last edited by Aquawind on Tue Jul 20, 2004 11:05 am, edited 1 time in total.
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chadtm80

#12 Postby chadtm80 » Tue Jul 20, 2004 10:43 am

I dont care who you are.. EVERYONE makes mistakes.. Also is that from there pay section??
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rbaker

#13 Postby rbaker » Tue Jul 20, 2004 11:02 am

system is being affected by some shear esp. on northern end of wave, however it has slowed a little to 20-25 mph, and in last sat images a blow up of convection is firing right in the center. Whether this will last is anyone's guess. I believe it is maintaining itself considering some obstacles. Still believe it will take to the w. carib to see td or stronger.
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