One BAD thing is ... but due to lag time, shouldn't have a bearing on the heart of the season is that the EQ PAC depths anomalies are increasing ... and a large slightly above EQ warming has shown up in the last couple of weeks ... but very cyclic .. it did the same thing a few months ago, only to see a large cool pool develop and tranverse eastward towards the South American Coast.
The ENS are calling for a shift to the ridging in a retrograding fashion ... but probably more transient than anything else ... however, two noticable things I saw yesterday ...
1) The retrograding of one 500mb ridge and a new center developing over TX/OK ... shifting into the Four Corner States in the next 10 days or so ...
2) The Bermuda High looks to make a return to a more climatologically favored position, with troughiness in between ...