This is from the 8:05 PM EDT discussion
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
A BROAD AND ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRES IS LOCATED OVER THE E
GULF OF MEXICO. SURFACE PRESSURES ARE SLOWLY DROPPING AND A
NEARLY STATIONARY 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED ABOUT 160 NM SSW OF
TAMPA BAY FL. A SURFACE TROF EXTENDS N OF THE LOW TO NEAR PANAMA
CITY FL...AND A SECOND TROF EXTENDS E ACROSS FLORIDA BAY TO JUST
S OF MIAMI. AN AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
RADIATING SWD AWAY FROM THE LOW TOWARDS THE W TIP OF CUBA...FROM
21.5N-24N BETWEEN 83W-87W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS ALSO
EXTEND ALONG THE SW FL COAST AND THE FL KEYS FROM 23N-27N
BETWEEN 80W-83W. THE SYSTEM IS VERY DISORGANIZED BUT TROPICAL
CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS.
A SURFACE TROF EXTENDS FROM THE SRN BAHAMAS NEWD TO 28N70W...
MOVING SLOWLY NWWD 5-10 KT. EVEN THOUGH VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS A
GOOD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ABOUT 220 NM NE OF ELEUTHERA
ISLAND...THERE IS NO CLEAR INDICATION THAT A CLOSED SURFACE LOW
HAS DEVELOPED. HOPEFULLY QUIKSCAT WILL CATCH THE SYSTEM THIS
EVENING AND PROVIDE FURTHER EVIDENCE. THE TROF IS COLLOCATED
WITH A STRONG MID/UPPER LOW AND BROAD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE TO
THE E OF THIS SYSTEM IS SUPPORTING A LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED/
NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 20N-27N BETWEEN 65W-72W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24-36
HOURS.
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