Next 24 hours is crucial

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Next 24 hours is crucial

#1 Postby Guest » Sun Aug 01, 2004 10:49 pm

I think the system will skirt by the coast and be flung out.

THE CENTER OF ALEX MAY STILL GET UNCOMFORTABLY CLOSE
TO THE COAST IN 24-36 HOURS BEFORE IT GETS CAUGHT UP BY THE
APPROACHING TROUGH AND IS CARRIED OUT TO SEA. GIVEN THE
STATIONARY MOTION EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 6-12 HOURS...THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK WAS SLOWED...BUT OTHER THAN THAT NO
OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE MADE. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE GUNA MODEL CONSENSUS.

What do you think! I say not much intensification.
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#2 Postby Stormchaser16 » Sun Aug 01, 2004 10:50 pm

Not to be rude but i say you are wrong about the intensification

There is going to be a window of at least 24 hours where conditions should be conducive for at least moderate strenghtening as shear abates- this combined with it being over the gulf stream, could make for one nasty situation
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Guest

#3 Postby Guest » Sun Aug 01, 2004 10:53 pm

I am not saying that it is not going to intensify, but capping on Tuesday and then punted.
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