Ex Tropical depression two has a Upper level High!

[Matthew5]

Our ex tropical depression, has a Upper level high over it. With shear over the MLC(Mid level cirulation) around 65 or so west give or take. Is around 5 to 10 knots. With a decrease in shear with in that area. To the west there is wind shear of over 30 knot. The system is slowing down. Which was the factor that distroyed it, was it moving so fast in the first place. The MLC has slowed down, while allowing some convection to form over it. The convection to the west has fall apart over the last 6 hours.(Which will allow the energy to come together near the MLC) Another factor is with a upper high that will focuses the system thunderstorms near the MLC which will hold it together. The upper level wind shear will move to the north of the system, forming a outflow channel seen by the high clouds moving off to the east to the north of the system. This system could very well reform over the next 12 to 24 hours.

I think a track into the western Caribbean, then a turn into the Gulf of Mexico.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8shr.html

[Nimbus]

The shear ahead of TD2 seems to be moving west matching speed with the system. We will likely see our daily flare up around 69W 13.5 N.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... wg8sht.GIF

The big high over the gulf kind of sets up a blocking pattern unless it bridges out over the Caribbean, so TD2 will probably run into some shear down the road.

[The Dark Knight]

So that's the fate of XTD #2 then......

[Brent]

Last night it looked good, then it went POOF overnight and just in the last couple of hours a new blob has formed up, NW of the old one, south of Hispanola.

[caneman]

Lots and lots of shear and I can't really see an area free of shear ATT. does anyone else?

[BayouVenteux]

...and just in the last couple of hours a new blob has formed up, NW of the old one, south of Hispanola.

Looks like the burst of convection we're seeing might be due to interaction with the mid-level trough that's draped across the Caribbean from the Yu-P on eastward.

[caneman]

This is unbelievable. Look at the very cold cloud tops. This thing is very vigorous and if it survives the graveyard, it could become a very naughty system. Picture doesn't look real good as there was an obvious problem with the pictures for this 1/2 hour. But you'll get the idea.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg

[The Dark Knight]

It just might....