Heavy rains soaking NW Florida

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MGC
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Heavy rains soaking NW Florida

#1 Postby MGC » Tue Aug 10, 2004 11:17 am

We had quite a light show last night here on the Mississippi coast. These thunderstorms are now moving over the Florida panhandle. You folks that way will surely get a good soaking, saturating the ground. This will only complicate matters if Bonnie and Charles remain on forecast track. Bonnie has a good shot a becoming a miminal hurricane. I sure hope it don't become a cat 3 like the GFDL forecast it. I do have visions of Hurricane Iris of a couple years ago, a small compact major hurricane that hit Belize. So, you folks over that way keep an eye on Bonnie. Intensity forecast with these midget system is tough and the NHC is leaving the door open for some rapid intensification. Chuck looks to be a few days behind Bonnie. Looks to me to be a central to eastern GOM storm. At any event, the Fla panhandle is in for a good deal of rain the next week. Stay dry my friends.....MGC
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#2 Postby GulfHills » Tue Aug 10, 2004 11:21 am

I'm in Tallahassee, we're just now receiving heavy rain. I agree with you on Bonnie and Clyde.....hope it goes elsewhere!
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#3 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Aug 10, 2004 11:22 am

Hey MGC, you are right about this situation. I've had 3.44" since Midnight with more TStorms moving our way as I type. The ground will be thoroughly saturated for Bonnie and by the time Charley gets here (if he does) he might not be officially called landfalling until he gets up to Macon, GA or something!
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#4 Postby Brent » Tue Aug 10, 2004 11:27 am

We have been soaked with rain this morning. Been raining for the last 4 hours. Approaching 2". We need the rain, but I'm afraid we may get a lot more with Bonnie and Charley. :(
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#5 Postby adelphi_sky » Tue Aug 10, 2004 11:34 am

Those intensity forecasts are always a crap shoot. There are a gazillion variables that come into play in just 24 hours. I'm always reminded of the disappointment after the local mets call for a big snow storm, then I wake up, it's sunny and the ground is as dry as a the day before. Let us not forget the recent reminder of Alex 24 hours previous to it's explosion in intensity.
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